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影响重症烧伤患儿重症监护病房住院时间的因素。

Factors affecting intensive care length of stay in critically ill pediatric patients with burn injuries.

作者信息

Lerner Reut Kassif, Gibori Amit, Hubara Evyatar, Sadeh Tal, Rubinstein Marina, Paret Gidi, Pessach Itai M

机构信息

Department of Pediatric Critical Care, The Edmond and Lily Safra Children's Hospital, Sheba Medical Center, Tel-Hashomer, Israel.

Faculty of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel.

出版信息

Pediatr Surg Int. 2024 Dec 28;41(1):51. doi: 10.1007/s00383-024-05945-0.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Burns in children are often complex injuries, leading to prolonged length of stay (LOS) and significant morbidity. LOS in pediatric intensive care units (PICUs) is a key measure for evaluating illness severity, clinical outcomes, and quality of care. Accurate prediction of LOS is vital for improving care planning and resource allocation. There is limited data for predicting LOS in severely burned children in PICU. This study aims to identify significant factors associated with prolonged PICU stays and offer a simple LOS-predicting model.

METHODS

This historical cohort study included all patients < 18 years, admitted for severe burn injuries to Israel's largest tertiary hospital PICU, from 2015 to 2020. Statistical analyses were conducted to identify factors linked to prolonged LOS and a predictive model was designed.

RESULTS

The study included 39 pediatric burn patients and identified several factors associated with longer PICU stays. Patients with LOS of ˃7 days (i.e.-"long LOS") had significantly higher %TBSA (33.11 ± 17.87% vs. 16.67 ± 7.98%, p < 0.001. During the first 24 and 48 h, the "long LOS" group had lower minimal systolic blood pressure (SBP) (70.67 ± 17.49 mmHg vs. 84.38 ± 16.73 mmHg, p = 0.015 and 69.39 mmHg ± 16.44 vs. 81.10 mmHg ± 19.67, p = 0.018). Although serum lactate levels were higher in the "long LOS" group, the difference was not significant, and platelet counts in this group were significantly lower during the first 48 h (184 K/µL vs. 264.5 K/µL, p = 0.003). A predictive model based on %TBSA, SBP, lactate, and platelet count was developed, demonstrating 100% specificity and positive predictive value for predicting LOS over 7 days in severely burned children.

CONCLUSIONS

Key clinical indicators at PICU admission in severely burned children were associated with LOS > 7 days. The resulting predictive model, although requiring further validation in multi-site studies, offers a promising tool for enhancing care planning in this population.

摘要

背景

儿童烧伤往往是复杂的损伤,导致住院时间延长和严重的发病率。儿科重症监护病房(PICU)的住院时间是评估疾病严重程度、临床结局和护理质量的关键指标。准确预测住院时间对于改善护理计划和资源分配至关重要。关于预测PICU中重度烧伤儿童住院时间的数据有限。本研究旨在确定与PICU住院时间延长相关的重要因素,并提供一个简单的住院时间预测模型。

方法

这项历史性队列研究纳入了2015年至2020年期间因严重烧伤入住以色列最大的三级医院PICU的所有18岁以下患者。进行统计分析以确定与住院时间延长相关的因素,并设计了一个预测模型。

结果

该研究纳入了39名儿科烧伤患者,并确定了几个与PICU住院时间延长相关的因素。住院时间超过7天(即“长住院时间”)的患者的总体表面积百分比(%TBSA)显著更高(33.11±17.87%对16.67±7.98%,p<0.001)。在最初的24小时和48小时内,“长住院时间”组的最低收缩压(SBP)较低(70.67±17.49mmHg对84.38±16.73mmHg,p=0.015;69.39mmHg±16.44对81.10mmHg±19.67,p=0.018)。虽然“长住院时间”组的血清乳酸水平较高,但差异不显著,且该组在最初48小时内的血小板计数显著较低(184K/µL对264.5K/µL,p=0.003)。基于%TBSA、SBP、乳酸和血小板计数建立了一个预测模型,该模型在预测重度烧伤儿童住院时间超过7天时显示出100%的特异性和阳性预测值。

结论

重度烧伤儿童入住PICU时的关键临床指标与住院时间>7天相关。所得的预测模型虽然需要在多中心研究中进一步验证,但为改善该人群的护理计划提供了一个有前景的工具。

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