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肌肉减少症与美国麻醉医师协会(ASA)分级状态在预测急诊剖腹术后死亡率中的协同作用:一项包含Meta回归的系统评价和Meta分析

Synergistic effect of sarcopenia and ASA status in predicting mortality after emergency laparotomy: a systematic review and meta-analysis with meta-regression.

作者信息

Al-Sarireh Ahmad, Al-Sarireh Hashim, Ambler Olivia, Hajibandeh Shahin, Hajibandeh Shahab

机构信息

University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.

University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.

出版信息

Updates Surg. 2025 Apr;77(2):591-603. doi: 10.1007/s13304-025-02105-4. Epub 2025 Jan 16.

DOI:10.1007/s13304-025-02105-4
PMID:39821602
Abstract

The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between sarcopenia and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) status in predicting post-operative mortality after emergency laparotomy. A PRISMA-compliant systematic review and meta-analysis (using random effects modelling) was performed searching for studies reporting 30-day mortality risk in patients with sarcopenia undergoing emergency laparotomy. The ASA status of sarcopenic and non-sarcopenic patients was determined, and the effect of difference in ASA status on 30-day mortality in sarcopenic and non-sarcopenic patients was determined via a meta-regression model. The risk of bias and certainty was assessed using the QUIPS tool and the GRADE system, respectively. Seven studies comprising 2663 patients were included. Thirty-day mortality risk was 22.9% (95% CI 11.6-40.0%) in sarcopenic patients and 6.2% (95% CI 2.9-13.0%) in non-sarcopenic patients; the risk was significantly higher in sarcopenic patients (OR: 4.452, p = 0.016). In sarcopenic patients, ASA status IV-V increased the risk of mortality (Coefficient: 0.07612, p < 0.0001), while ASA status I-II (Coefficient: - 0.09039, p < 0.0001) or ASA status III (Coefficient: 0.01300, p = 0.344) did not. In non-sarcopenic patients, ASA status III (Coefficient: 0.06830, p < 0.0001) and ASA status IV-V (Coefficient: 0.17809, p < 0.0001) increased the risk of mortality, while ASA status I-II (Coefficient: - 0.05841, p < 0.0001) did not. The GRADE certainty was moderate. Sarcopenia and ASA status are two independent predictors of mortality after emergency laparotomy with no significant collinearity. Sarcopenia and ASA status synergistically increase the risk of mortality after emergency laparotomy. ASA status IV and ASA status III are critical thresholds for increased risk of mortality in sarcopenic and non-sarcopenic patients, respectively.

摘要

本研究旨在探讨肌少症与美国麻醉医师协会(ASA)分级在预测急诊剖腹术后死亡率方面的关系。我们进行了一项符合PRISMA标准的系统评价和荟萃分析(采用随机效应模型),以查找报告肌少症患者急诊剖腹术后30天死亡风险的研究。确定了肌少症患者和非肌少症患者的ASA分级,并通过荟萃回归模型确定了ASA分级差异对肌少症患者和非肌少症患者30天死亡率的影响。分别使用QUIPS工具和GRADE系统评估偏倚风险和确定性。纳入了7项研究,共2663例患者。肌少症患者的30天死亡风险为22.9%(95%CI 11.6 - 40.0%),非肌少症患者为6.2%(95%CI 2.9 - 13.0%);肌少症患者的风险显著更高(OR:4.452,p = 0.016)。在肌少症患者中,ASA分级IV - V增加了死亡风险(系数:0.07612,p < 0.0001),而ASA分级I - II(系数: - 0.09039,p < 0.0001)或ASA分级III(系数:0.01300,p = 0.344)则没有。在非肌少症患者中,ASA分级III(系数:0.06830,p < 0.0001)和ASA分级IV - V(系数:0.17809,p < 0.0001)增加了死亡风险,而ASA分级I - II(系数: - 0.05841,p < 0.0001)则没有。GRADE确定性为中等。肌少症和ASA分级是急诊剖腹术后死亡率的两个独立预测因素,且无显著共线性。肌少症和ASA分级协同增加急诊剖腹术后的死亡风险。ASA分级IV和ASA分级III分别是肌少症患者和非肌少症患者死亡风险增加的关键阈值。

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本文引用的文献

1
HAS (Hajibandeh Index, American Society of Anesthesiologists Status, and Sarcopenia) Model Versus NELA (National Emergency Laparotomy Audit) Score in Predicting the Risk of Mortality After Emergency Laparotomy: A Retrospective Cohort Study.在预测急诊剖腹手术后死亡风险方面,HAS(哈吉班德指数、美国麻醉医师协会身体状况及肌肉减少症)模型与NELA(国家急诊剖腹手术审计)评分的比较:一项回顾性队列研究
Cureus. 2023 Dec 8;15(12):e50180. doi: 10.7759/cureus.50180. eCollection 2023 Dec.
2
The Effect of Sarcopenia on Postoperative Outcomes Following Emergency Laparotomy: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.肌少症对急诊剖腹手术后结局的影响:系统评价和荟萃分析。
J Frailty Aging. 2023;12(4):305-310. doi: 10.14283/jfa.2023.30.
3
Objective measurement of age-related physiological decline and vulnerability is still missing from the emergency laparotomy mortality predictive models.
急诊剖腹手术死亡率预测模型仍缺乏与年龄相关的生理衰退和脆弱性的客观测量。
Anaesthesia. 2023 Dec;78(12):1525-1526. doi: 10.1111/anae.16115. Epub 2023 Aug 4.
4
Combining sarcopenia and ASA status to inform emergency laparotomy outcomes: could it be that simple?将肌少症和 ASA 状态相结合来预测急诊剖腹手术结局:是否如此简单?
ANZ J Surg. 2023 Jul-Aug;93(7-8):1811-1816. doi: 10.1111/ans.18551. Epub 2023 May 30.
5
Development and Validation of HAS (Hajibandeh Index, ASA Status, Sarcopenia) - A Novel Model for Predicting Mortality After Emergency Laparotomy.HAS(Hajibandeh 指数、ASA 状态、肌肉减少症)的制定与验证-一种预测急诊剖腹手术后死亡率的新模型。
Ann Surg. 2024 Mar 1;279(3):501-509. doi: 10.1097/SLA.0000000000005897. Epub 2023 May 4.
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Low skeletal muscle mass predicts poor prognosis of elderly patients after emergency laparotomy: A single Asian institution experience.低骨骼肌质量预示老年患者急诊剖腹手术后预后不良:一家亚洲机构的单中心经验
Ann Acad Med Singap. 2022 Dec;51(12):766-773. doi: 10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2022158.
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Abdom Radiol (NY). 2023 Feb;48(2):796-805. doi: 10.1007/s00261-022-03652-9. Epub 2022 Nov 16.
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