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预测川崎病中大型冠状动脉瘤的危险因素。

Risk factors for predicting medium-giant coronary artery aneurysms in Kawasaki disease.

作者信息

Zhao Li, Wu Jiangping, Liu Xiaoliang, Zhou Kaiyu, Hua Yimin, Shao Shuran, Wang Chuan

机构信息

Department of Pediatric Cardiology, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.

West China Medical School of Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.

出版信息

Immunol Res. 2025 Feb 17;73(1):52. doi: 10.1007/s12026-025-09604-x.

Abstract

The objective of this study is to determine whether the data of blood profiles before and after therapy can be useful for predicting medium-giant coronary artery aneurysms (CAA) in patients with KD. In total, 1856 KD children from 2013 to 2022 were prospectively recruited. Serial blood samples on the day of initial IVIG infusion and 36-48 h thereafter were collected. The clinical and laboratory parameters were compared between the medium-giant CAA (n = 95) group and the non-CAA group (n = 1761). Multivariate analysis was performed to explore the independent risk factors for medium-giant CAA and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate and assess the prediction validities. Fever duration prior to initial IVIG infusion, IVIG resistance, cardiac enlargement, white blood cells prior to initial IVIG treatment, albumin levels, and the percentage of △neutrophils were independent risk factors for predicting medium-giant CAA. The predictive value of △neutrophil percentage (≤ 30.2%) demonstrates a relatively high sensitivity (0.84) and a moderate specificity (0.52) for predicting acute medium-giant CAA. The △neutrophil percentage before and 36-48 h after initial IVIG infusion might serve as a promising biomarker in the prediction of medium-giant CAA for KD patients.

摘要

本研究的目的是确定治疗前后的血液指标数据是否有助于预测川崎病(KD)患者的中型至巨型冠状动脉瘤(CAA)。2013年至2022年期间,前瞻性招募了1856名KD患儿。在首次静脉注射免疫球蛋白(IVIG)当天及其后36 - 48小时采集系列血样。比较中型至巨型CAA组(n = 95)和非CAA组(n = 1761)的临床和实验室参数。进行多因素分析以探索中型至巨型CAA的独立危险因素,并使用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估预测效度。首次IVIG输注前的发热持续时间、IVIG抵抗、心脏扩大、首次IVIG治疗前的白细胞、白蛋白水平以及△中性粒细胞百分比是预测中型至巨型CAA的独立危险因素。△中性粒细胞百分比(≤30.2%)对预测急性中型至巨型CAA具有相对较高的敏感性(0.84)和中等特异性(0.52)。首次IVIG输注前及输注后36 - 48小时的△中性粒细胞百分比可能是预测KD患者中型至巨型CAA的一种有前景的生物标志物。

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