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布朗克斯区城市人口中新冠肺炎后慢性肾病患者的长期预后

Long term outcomes of patients with chronic kidney disease after COVID-19 in an urban population in the Bronx.

作者信息

Lu Jason Y, Lu Justin Y, Wang Stephen, Duong Katie S, Henry Sonya, Fisher Molly C, Duong Tim Q

机构信息

Department of Radiology, Albert Einstein College of Medicine and Montefiore Medical Center, Bronx, NY, USA.

Department of Surgery, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Centerand, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Feb 19;15(1):6119. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-90153-6.

Abstract

We investigated the long-term kidney and cardiovascular outcomes of patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) after COVID-19. Our retrospective cohort consisted of 834 CKD patients with COVID-19 and 6,167 CKD patients without COVID-19 between 3/11/2020 to 7/1/2023. Multivariate competing risk regression models were used to estimate risk (as adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI)) of CKD progression to a more advanced stage (Stage 4 or 5) and major adverse kidney events (MAKE), and risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) at 6-, 12-, and 24-month follow up. Hospitalized COVID-19 patients at 12 and 24 months (aHR 1.62 95% CI[1.24,2.13] and 1.76 [1.30, 2.40], respectively), but not non-hospitalized COVID-19 patients, were at higher risk of CKD progression compared to those without COVID-19. Both hospitalized and non-hospitalized COVID-19 patients were at higher risk of MAKE at 6-, 12- and 24-months compared to those without COVID-19. Hospitalized COVID-19 patients at 6-, 12- and 24-months (aHR 1.73 [1.21, 2.50], 1.77 [1.34, 2.33], and 1.31 [1.05, 1.64], respectively), but not non-hospitalized COVID-19 patients, were at higher risk of MACE compared to those without COVID-19. COVID-19 increases the risk of long-term CKD progression and cardiovascular events in patients with CKD. These findings highlight the need for close follow up care and therapies that slow CKD progression in this high-risk subgroup.

摘要

我们调查了新冠病毒感染后慢性肾脏病(CKD)患者的长期肾脏和心血管结局。我们的回顾性队列包括2020年3月11日至2023年7月1日期间834例感染新冠病毒的CKD患者和6167例未感染新冠病毒的CKD患者。采用多变量竞争风险回归模型来估计CKD进展至更晚期阶段(4期或5期)和主要不良肾脏事件(MAKE)的风险(以调整后风险比(aHR)及95%置信区间(CI)表示),以及在6个月、12个月和24个月随访时主要不良心血管事件(MACE)的风险。与未感染新冠病毒的患者相比,12个月和24个月时住院的新冠病毒感染患者(aHR分别为1.62,95%CI[1.24,2.13]和1.76[1.30,2.40])发生CKD进展的风险更高,但未住院的新冠病毒感染患者并非如此。与未感染新冠病毒的患者相比,住院和未住院的新冠病毒感染患者在6个月、12个月和24个月时发生MAKE的风险均更高。与未感染新冠病毒的患者相比,6个月、12个月和24个月时住院的新冠病毒感染患者(aHR分别为1.73[1.21,2.50]、1.77[1.34,2.33]和1.31[1.05,1.64])发生MACE的风险更高,但未住院的新冠病毒感染患者并非如此。新冠病毒感染会增加CKD患者长期CKD进展和心血管事件的风险。这些发现凸显了对这一高危亚组患者进行密切随访以及采用延缓CKD进展的治疗方法的必要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a8d1/11839904/825f8f71fd35/41598_2025_90153_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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