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孟加拉国创伤性脑损伤的流行病学、结局及危险因素:一项聚焦道路交通损伤相关易感性的前瞻性队列研究

Epidemiology, outcomes, and risk factors of traumatic brain injury in Bangladesh: a prospective cohort study with a focus on road traffic injury-related vulnerability.

作者信息

Rahman Farah Naz, Das Sukriti, Kader Manzur, Mashreky Saidur Rahman

机构信息

International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh.

School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2025 Feb 14;13:1514011. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2025.1514011. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Low-and middle-income countries bear a disproportionate burden of traumatic brain injury (TBI), with significant consequences for affected individuals and health systems. However, evidence on the incidence, risk factors, and associated vulnerability-particularly from road traffic injuries (RTIs)-remains limited in South Asia, including Bangladesh, which has one of the highest RTI burdens globally. This study aimed to investigate the epidemiology, clinical characteristics, health outcomes of TBI, and the vulnerability and risk factors associated with RTI-related TBI in Bangladesh.

METHODS

A prospective observational cohort study was conducted at Dhaka Medical College and Hospital from May to June 2017. Data were collected during patient admission and at 30-day follow-up (or discharge). Registered medical practitioners used a semi-structured questionnaire to collect data, including the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS), and EuroQol-5D-3L. Descriptive analysis was used to present the incidence, clinical characteristics, outcomes, and pre-hospital care scenarios for TBI. The Chi-square test and multivariable logistic regression analysis were performed to identify the vulnerability of RTI-related TBI and its predictive factors for mortality.

RESULTS

The study followed 659 TBI cases. The mean age was 32.3 years, and the majority (80.1%) were male. RTIs were the leading cause of TBI (62%), followed by physical assault (17%) and falls (16%). The mortality rate was 10.3% ( = 68). Patients with RTI-related TBI had 1.95 times higher odds (95% CI 1.21-3.14) of severe GCS scores (<8) and three times higher odds (95% CI 1.59-5.78) of mortality compared to other causes. Predictive factors for mortality included severe GCS (<8) (aOR 8.1,  < 0.01, 95% CI 4.1-16.2), loss of consciousness >1 h (aOR 4.4,  < 0.01, 95% CI 1.4-8.1), and treatment initiation delay >8 h (aOR 2.8,  < 0.01, 95% CI 1.4-5.5). Nearly all patients lacked first aid and emergency transport, and two-thirds were referred from primary and secondary facilities, with one-third receiving no treatment before referral.

CONCLUSION

RTI is the most vulnerables, duration of unconsciousness, and treatment delays are key predictors of mortality. These findings can inform policy for prevention and management of TBI in Bangladesh and similar settings.

摘要

背景

低收入和中等收入国家承受着不成比例的创伤性脑损伤(TBI)负担,对受影响的个人和卫生系统造成重大后果。然而,在包括孟加拉国在内的南亚地区,关于发病率、风险因素以及相关脆弱性(特别是道路交通伤害(RTI)方面)的证据仍然有限,孟加拉国是全球道路交通伤害负担最高的国家之一。本研究旨在调查孟加拉国TBI的流行病学、临床特征、健康结局以及与RTI相关TBI的脆弱性和风险因素。

方法

2017年5月至6月在达卡医学院和医院进行了一项前瞻性观察队列研究。在患者入院时和30天随访(或出院时)收集数据。注册医生使用半结构化问卷收集数据,包括格拉斯哥昏迷量表(GCS)、格拉斯哥预后量表(GOS)和欧洲五维健康量表(EuroQol-5D-3L)。采用描述性分析来呈现TBI的发病率、临床特征、结局和院前护理情况。进行卡方检验和多变量逻辑回归分析以确定RTI相关TBI的脆弱性及其死亡预测因素。

结果

该研究跟踪了659例TBI病例。平均年龄为32.3岁,大多数(80.1%)为男性。道路交通伤害是TBI的主要原因(62%),其次是身体攻击(17%)和跌倒(16%)。死亡率为10.3%(n = 68)。与其他原因导致的TBI相比,RTI相关TBI患者严重GCS评分(<8)的几率高1.95倍(95%置信区间1.21 - 3.14),死亡几率高3倍(95%置信区间1.59 - 5.78)。死亡预测因素包括严重GCS评分(<8)(调整后比值比8.1,P < 0.01,95%置信区间4.1 - 16.2)、意识丧失>1小时(调整后比值比4.4,P < 0.01,95%置信区间1.4 - 8.1)以及治疗开始延迟>8小时(调整后比值比2.8,P < 0.01,95%置信区间1.4 - 5.5)。几乎所有患者都缺乏急救和紧急转运,三分之二是从初级和二级医疗机构转诊而来,三分之一在转诊前未接受治疗。

结论

道路交通伤害是最脆弱的因素,意识丧失持续时间和治疗延迟是死亡的关键预测因素。这些发现可为孟加拉国及类似环境中TBI的预防和管理政策提供参考。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/17ba/11868135/86a910f2036e/fpubh-13-1514011-g001.jpg

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