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Future Use of AI in Diagnostic Medicine: 2-Wave Cross-Sectional Survey Study.

作者信息

Cabral Bernardo Pereira, Braga Luiza Amara Maciel, Conte Filho Carlos Gilbert, Penteado Bruno, Freire de Castro Silva Sandro Luis, Castro Leonardo, Fornazin Marcelo, Mota Fabio

机构信息

Cellular Communication Laboratory, Oswaldo Cruz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.

出版信息

J Med Internet Res. 2025 Feb 27;27:e53892. doi: 10.2196/53892.


DOI:10.2196/53892
PMID:40053779
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11907171/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: The rapid evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) presents transformative potential for diagnostic medicine, offering opportunities to enhance diagnostic accuracy, reduce costs, and improve patient outcomes. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the expected future impact of AI on diagnostic medicine by comparing global researchers' expectations using 2 cross-sectional surveys. METHODS: The surveys were conducted in September 2020 and February 2023. Each survey captured a 10-year projection horizon, gathering insights from >3700 researchers with expertise in AI and diagnostic medicine from all over the world. The survey sought to understand the perceived benefits, integration challenges, and evolving attitudes toward AI use in diagnostic settings. RESULTS: Results indicated a strong expectation among researchers that AI will substantially influence diagnostic medicine within the next decade. Key anticipated benefits include enhanced diagnostic reliability, reduced screening costs, improved patient care, and decreased physician workload, addressing the growing demand for diagnostic services outpacing the supply of medical professionals. Specifically, x-ray diagnosis, heart rhythm interpretation, and skin malignancy detection were identified as the diagnostic tools most likely to be integrated with AI technologies due to their maturity and existing AI applications. The surveys highlighted the growing optimism regarding AI's ability to transform traditional diagnostic pathways and enhance clinical decision-making processes. Furthermore, the study identified barriers to the integration of AI in diagnostic medicine. The primary challenges cited were the difficulties of embedding AI within existing clinical workflows, ethical and regulatory concerns, and data privacy issues. Respondents emphasized uncertainties around legal responsibility and accountability for AI-supported clinical decisions, data protection challenges, and the need for robust regulatory frameworks to ensure safe AI deployment. Ethical concerns, particularly those related to algorithmic transparency and bias, were noted as increasingly critical, reflecting a heightened awareness of the potential risks associated with AI adoption in clinical settings. Differences between the 2 survey waves indicated a growing focus on ethical and regulatory issues, suggesting an evolving recognition of these challenges over time. CONCLUSIONS: Despite these barriers, there was notable consistency in researchers' expectations across the 2 survey periods, indicating a stable and sustained outlook on AI's transformative potential in diagnostic medicine. The findings show the need for interdisciplinary collaboration among clinicians, AI developers, and regulators to address ethical and practical challenges while maximizing AI's benefits. This study offers insights into the projected trajectory of AI in diagnostic medicine, guiding stakeholders, including health care providers, policy makers, and technology developers, on navigating the opportunities and challenges of AI integration.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d893/11907171/37671a1a860c/jmir_v27i1e53892_fig3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d893/11907171/f7c8d2279074/jmir_v27i1e53892_fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d893/11907171/cdf5f539428b/jmir_v27i1e53892_fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d893/11907171/37671a1a860c/jmir_v27i1e53892_fig3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d893/11907171/f7c8d2279074/jmir_v27i1e53892_fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d893/11907171/cdf5f539428b/jmir_v27i1e53892_fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d893/11907171/37671a1a860c/jmir_v27i1e53892_fig3.jpg

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Future Use of AI in Diagnostic Medicine: 2-Wave Cross-Sectional Survey Study.

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Understanding Liability Risk from Using Health Care Artificial Intelligence Tools.

N Engl J Med. 2024-1-18

[2]
Challenges of artificial intelligence in medicine and dermatology.

Clin Dermatol. 2024

[3]
Revolutionizing healthcare: the role of artificial intelligence in clinical practice.

BMC Med Educ. 2023-9-22

[4]
AI in medicine: creating a safe and equitable future.

Lancet. 2023-8-12

[5]
Artificial intelligence in healthcare: Complementing, not replacing, doctors and healthcare providers.

Digit Health. 2023-7-2

[6]
A Review of the Role of Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare.

J Pers Med. 2023-6-5

[7]
Bias in artificial intelligence algorithms and recommendations for mitigation.

PLOS Digit Health. 2023-6-22

[8]
The Current and Future State of AI Interpretation of Medical Images.

N Engl J Med. 2023-5-25

[9]
Future of Artificial Intelligence Applications in Cancer Care: A Global Cross-Sectional Survey of Researchers.

Curr Oncol. 2023-3-16

[10]
Generating scholarly content with ChatGPT: ethical challenges for medical publishing.

Lancet Digit Health. 2023-3

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