Cost-effectiveness of sacituzumab govitecan for hormone receptor-positive human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative metastatic breast cancer based on the EVER-132-002 trial in China.

BACKGROUND

The EVER-132-002 trial demonstrated the significant efficacy and manageable safety of sacituzumab govitecan in hormone receptor-positive human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR + HER2-) metastatic breast cancer. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of sacituzumab govitecan compared with chemotherapy from the Chinese healthcare system perspective.

METHODS

A partitioned survival model at 21-day intervals over a 10-year time horizon was developed to evaluate the total cost, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) at willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of 3 times gross domestic product per capita ($38,042.49 per QALY). Clinical data were extracted from the EVER-132-002 trial; direct medical costs and utility values were obtained from public bid-winning databases, local charges or published literature. To determine the model's robustness, scenario, one-way, two-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Compared with chemotherapy, sacituzumab govitecan generated an additional cost of $91,273.72, with an additional QALY of 0.43, resulted in an ICER of $211,948.62 per QALY. Patient weight was the most influential parameter on base-case results, and variations in each parameter did not substantially alter the conclusion. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the probability of sacituzumab govitecan to be cost-effective was zero at the WTP threshold of $38,042.49 per QALY. Scenario analysis indicated that sacituzumab govitecan would be cost-effective versus chemotherapy only if its cost was reduced by 83% ($202.65 per unit) or more.

CONCLUSIONS

Sacituzumab govitecan might not be cost-effective compared with chemotherapy in the treatment for HR + HER2- metastatic breast cancer in China.