Wang Jinyang, Shi Haonan, Wang Xiaowei, Dong Enhong, Yao Jian, Li Yonghan, Yang Ye, Wang Tingting
Department of Clinical Medicine, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, 830017, China.
The Zhoupu Affiliated Hospital of Shanghai University of Medicine and Health Sciences, Shanghai, 201318, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Mar 21;15(1):9796. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-94255-z.
The increasing global incidence of atopic dermatitis (AD) in children, especially in Western industrialized nations, has attracted considerable attention. The hygiene hypothesis, which posits that early pathogen exposure is crucial for immune system development, is central to understanding this trend. Furthermore, advanced machine learning algorithms have provided fresh insights into the interactions among various risk factors. This study investigates the relationship between early childhood antibiotic use, the duration of exclusive breastfeeding, indoor environmental factors, and child AD. By integrating machine learning techniques with the hygiene hypothesis, we aim to assess and interpret the significance of these risk factors. In this community-based case-control study with a 1:4 matching design, we evaluated the prevalence of AD in preschool-aged children. Data were collected via questionnaires completed by the parents of 771 children diagnosed with AD, matched with controls based on gender, age, and ethnicity. Univariate analyses identified relevant characteristics, which were further examined using multivariable logistic regression to calculate odds ratios (ORs). Stratified analyses assessed confounders and interactions, while the significance of variables was determined using a machine learning model. Renovating the dwelling during the mother's pregnancy (OR = 1.50; 95% CI 1.15-1.96) was identified as a risk factor for childhood AD. Additionally, antibiotic use three or more times during the child's first year (OR = 1.92; 95% CI 1.29-2.85) increased the risk of AD, independent of the parents' history of atopic disease and the child's mode of birth. Moreover, exclusive breastfeeding for four months or more (OR = 1.59; 95% CI 1.17-2.17) was identified as a risk factor for AD, particularly in the group without a maternal history of atopic disease. In contrast, having older siblings in the family (OR = 0.76; 95% CI 0.63-0.92) and low birth weight (OR = 0.62; 95% CI 0.47-0.81) were identified as protective factors against AD. Machine learning modeling indicated that the duration of exclusive breastfeeding, having older siblings, low birth weight, and parental history of AD or allergic rhinitis are key predictors of childhood AD. Our findings support the broader interpretation of the hygiene hypothesis. Machine learning analysis highlights the key role of the hygiene hypothesis and underscores the need for future AD prevention and healthcare initiatives focusing on children with a parental history of AD or allergic rhinitis. Moreover, minimizing antibiotic overuse may be essential for preventing AD in children. Further research is necessary to elucidate the impact and mechanisms of exclusive breastfeeding on AD to instruct maternal and child healthcare practices.
儿童特应性皮炎(AD)在全球范围内的发病率不断上升,尤其是在西方工业化国家,这一现象已引起了广泛关注。卫生假说认为早期病原体暴露对免疫系统发育至关重要,这一假说对于理解这一趋势至关重要。此外,先进的机器学习算法为各种风险因素之间的相互作用提供了新的见解。本研究调查了儿童早期抗生素使用、纯母乳喂养持续时间、室内环境因素与儿童AD之间的关系。通过将机器学习技术与卫生假说相结合,我们旨在评估和解释这些风险因素的重要性。在这项基于社区的病例对照研究中,采用1:4匹配设计,我们评估了学龄前儿童AD的患病率。数据通过771名被诊断为AD的儿童的家长填写的问卷收集,并根据性别、年龄和种族与对照组进行匹配。单因素分析确定了相关特征,并使用多变量逻辑回归进一步分析以计算优势比(OR)。分层分析评估了混杂因素和相互作用,同时使用机器学习模型确定变量的显著性。母亲孕期装修房屋(OR = 1.50;95%CI 1.15 - 1.96)被确定为儿童AD的一个风险因素。此外,儿童在出生后第一年使用抗生素三次或更多次(OR = 1.92;95%CI 1.29 - 2.85)会增加患AD的风险,且与父母的特应性疾病史和孩子的出生方式无关。此外,纯母乳喂养四个月或更长时间(OR = 1.59;95%CI 1.17 - 2.17)被确定为AD的一个风险因素,特别是在没有母亲特应性疾病史的人群中。相比之下,家中有年长兄弟姐妹(OR = 0.76;95%CI 0.63 - 0.92)和低出生体重(OR = 0.62;95%CI 0.47 - 0.81)被确定为预防AD的保护因素。机器学习建模表明,纯母乳喂养持续时间、有年长兄弟姐妹、低出生体重以及父母的AD或过敏性鼻炎病史是儿童AD的关键预测因素。我们的研究结果支持对卫生假说进行更广泛的解读。机器学习分析突出了卫生假说的关键作用,并强调了未来针对有父母AD或过敏性鼻炎病史儿童的AD预防和医疗保健举措的必要性。此外,尽量减少抗生素的过度使用对于预防儿童AD可能至关重要。有必要进一步研究以阐明纯母乳喂养对AD的影响及其机制,从而指导母婴保健实践。