Donnelly Conor, Patel Suhani S, Jaffe Ian S, Akizhanov Daniyar, Chiang Teresa Po-Yu, Long Jane J, Liyanage Luckmini, Griesemer Adam, Segev Dorry L, Massie Allan B
Department of Surgery, Transplant Institute, NYU Langone Health, New York, New York, USA.
Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA.
Clin Transplant. 2025 Apr;39(4):e70132. doi: 10.1111/ctr.70132.
Predicting graft failure risk in pediatric liver transplantation (LT) recipients could identify areas for improving management. Persistent cognitive, motor, academic, and functional deficits are common in recipients and their impact on graft survival following LT helps inform risk prediction.
Using SRTR data 2008-2023, we evaluated the cognitive, motor, academic, and functional deficits of LT recipients at time of transplant to 14 years post-LT. We compared all cause graft failure (ACGF) among patients with versus without pre-LT and 1-year post-LT deficits using Cox regression, adjusting for recipient characteristics. We calculated an individual risk score for ACGF.
In 8062 pediatric LT recipients median age 3 (IQR: 1, 10), 28.0%, 29.5%, 35.0%, and 79.8% of recipients had pre-LT deficits in cognition, motor, academic activity, and functional status respectively. This decreased to 23.0%, 18.1%, 14.2%, and 38.7% 1-year post-LT. Increased hazard of ACGF was noted in recipients with pre-LT decreased functional status (aHR = 1.13 (per 10% decrease), 95% CI: 1.10-1.15, p < 0.001), definite motor delay (aHR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.21-2.10, p < 0.001), and inability to participate in academics (aHR = 1.49, 95% CI: 1.08-1.89, p = 0.01), but not delays in cognition (aHR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.69-1.21, p = 0.19). Our risk score predicting ACGF demonstrated improved predictive performance compared to clinical parameters alone (C-statistic = 0.70 (0.67, 0.72) vs. 0.66 (0.64, 0.69), p < 0.001).
Pediatric LT recipients with pre- or post-LT motor, academic, and functional deficits are at higher risk for ACGF. Care should be taken to assess deficits to identify patients who may benefit from functional intervention to potentially reduce ACGF risk.
预测儿童肝移植(LT)受者的移植物失败风险有助于确定改善管理的方向。持续性认知、运动、学业和功能缺陷在受者中很常见,其对LT后移植物存活的影响有助于进行风险预测。
利用2008 - 2023年的SRTR数据,我们评估了LT受者从移植时到LT后14年的认知、运动、学业和功能缺陷。我们使用Cox回归比较了LT前和LT后1年有缺陷与无缺陷患者的全因移植物失败(ACGF)情况,并对受者特征进行了调整。我们计算了ACGF的个体风险评分。
在8062例中位年龄为3岁(四分位间距:1,10)的儿童LT受者中,分别有28.0%、29.5%、35.0%和79.8%的受者在LT前存在认知、运动、学业活动和功能状态方面的缺陷。LT后1年,这些比例分别降至23.0%、18.1%、14.2%和38.7%。LT前功能状态下降的受者(调整后风险比[aHR]=1.13(每降低10%),95%置信区间[CI]:1.10 - 1.15,p<0.001)、明确的运动发育迟缓(aHR = 1.60,95% CI:1.21 - 2.10,p<0.001)以及无法参与学业(aHR = 1.49,95% CI:1.08 - 1.89,p = 0.01)的受者发生ACGF的风险增加,但认知发育迟缓者未增加(aHR = 0.91,95% CI:0.69 - 1.21,p = 0.19)。我们预测ACGF的风险评分与单独的临床参数相比,预测性能有所提高(C统计量=0.70(0.67,0.72)对0.66(0.64,0.69),p<0.001)。
LT前或LT后存在运动、学业和功能缺陷的儿童LT受者发生ACGF的风险更高。应注意评估缺陷,以识别可能从功能干预中获益从而潜在降低ACGF风险的患者。