Construction of nomogram prognostic model for gastric signet ring cell carcinoma: Signet ring cell proportion influencing prognosis.

BACKGROUND

Signet ring cell (SRC) carcinoma significantly impacts the prognosis of gastric cancer (GC) patients, yet the influence of SRC proportion is often overlooked. This study aims to clarify the relationship between SRC proportion and prognosis and to construct a prognostic prediction model for gastric cancer patients with SRC components (GSRCC).

METHODS

Clinical data from 628 GSRCC patients who underwent gastrectomy at the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University from November 2011 to December 2018 were collected. Patients were randomly divided into a training set (442 patients) and a validation set (186 patients). Prognostic risk factors were identified in the training set, and a nomogram prediction model was established. The internal and external validation were conducted on the training and validation sets.

RESULTS

The SRC proportion (hazard ratio [HR]: 9.569, P < 0.001), depth of invasion (HR: 6.838, P = 0.001), tumor size (HR: 1.573, P = 0.044), and N stage (HR: 6.511, P < 0.001) were independent prognostic factors for GSRCC. The nomogram showed excellent performance in predicting 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year overall survival (OS) with AUC values of 0.819, 0.832, and 0.874 in the training set, and of 0.815, 0.847, and 0.876 in the validation set, respectively. Calibration curves indicated good agreement between predicted and actual survival rates.

CONCLUSIONS

The SRC proportion influences the prognosis of GSRCC patients. The establishment of the prognostic prediction model will provide assistance for clinical decision-making and prognosis assessment.