车辆排放法规和地方拥堵政策对与交通空气污染相关的出生结局的影响。
Impacts of Vehicle Emission Regulations and Local Congestion Policies on Birth Outcomes Associated with Traffic Air Pollution.
作者信息
Hystad P, Willis M, Hill E, Schrank D, Molitor J, Larkin A, Ritz B
机构信息
Oregon State University, USA.
Boston University, Massachusetts, USA.
出版信息
Res Rep Health Eff Inst. 2025 Feb(223):1-88.
INTRODUCTION
In the United States, billions of dollars have been spent implementing interventions to reduce traffic-related air pollution (TRAP). These interventions are usually regulatory actions focused on reducing tailpipe emissions. However, they also include local programs to reduce traffic congestion and excess vehicle emissions, such as electronic tolls and roadway capacity improvements. Few health studies have empirically evaluated the direct impact of air pollution exposure reductions from these emission regulations and congestion reduction programs; no studies have examined infant health, an important population health outcome linked to air pollution exposures.
OBJECTIVE
Assess changes in birth outcomes for all recorded births in Texas from 1996 to 2016 associated with (1) long-term cumulative regulatory improvements of motor vehicle emissions and resulting TRAP change and (2) local congestion reduction programs that may yield localized TRAP changes over shorter time periods.
METHODS
We used Vital Statistics data in Texas from 1996 to 2016 (n = 8.1 million recorded births; n = 6,158,518 births analyzed after exclusions). We calculated diverse traffic-related exposure measures using residential addresses at the time of delivery. We implemented research triangulation methods using different study design and analysis approaches to test our primary hypotheses on the effects of long-term cumulative regulatory improvements and local congestion reduction programs on birth outcomes.
RESULTS
Traffic-related exposure measures (nitrogen dioxide [NO] air pollution, traffic volume, congestion) were consistently associated with adverse birth outcomes over the 20-year study period. This finding is supported by an analysis of pregnant individuals living upwind versus downwind of the same major road, where living downwind within 500 m was associated with an 11.6-g decrease (95% CI: -18.01, -5.21) in term birth weight. For all pregnant individuals, NO exposures decreased 59% from 1996 to 2016, while the total vehicle miles traveled (VMT) within 500 m of residential addresses (VMT) remained relatively stable. We observed marked differences in TRAP exposure for pregnant individuals by sociodemographic characteristics. While levels of air pollution disparities reduced in absolute terms over the 20 years, relative disparities persisted, and large differences in traffic levels remained. The magnitude of associations between VMT and adverse birth outcomes decreased for term low birth weight (-60%, OR in 1996: 1.08, OR in 2016: 1.03 for the highest vs. lowest quintile) and preterm (-65%) and very preterm (-61%) births, but not for term birth weight. A direct analysis of congestion exposure for 2015-2016 births, measured for all roadways in Texas using connected device data, showed that congestion was associated with decreased term birth weight, background traffic, and TRAP levels. When we examined local projects designed to reduce congestion as a natural experiment and applied a difference-in-differences (DiD) study design, we found little evidence that the implementation of tolling projects was associated with improved birth outcomes. For roadway construction projects, we observed increased congestion during construction and decreased congestion post-construction. This dynamic translated into increased odds of term low birth weight (OR 1.19; 95% CI: 1.05, 1.36) for pregnant individuals living within 300 m during construction but no consistent improvements in birth outcomes post-construction.
CONCLUSIONS
TRAP is an important environmental health and justice issue that affects pregnancy. Our results provide some evidence supporting that cleaning up the vehicle fleet was more impactful at decreasing adverse pregnancy outcomes than local programs aimed at reducing congestion.
引言
在美国,已投入数十亿美元实施干预措施以减少与交通相关的空气污染(TRAP)。这些干预措施通常是侧重于减少尾气排放的监管行动。然而,它们也包括减少交通拥堵和过量车辆排放的地方项目,如电子收费和道路容量改善。很少有健康研究实证评估这些排放法规和拥堵减少项目所带来的空气污染暴露减少的直接影响;没有研究考察婴儿健康这一与空气污染暴露相关联的重要人群健康结果。
目的
评估1996年至2016年德克萨斯州所有记录在案的出生与以下因素相关的出生结局变化:(1)机动车排放的长期累积监管改善以及由此导致的TRAP变化;(2)可能在较短时间内产生局部TRAP变化的地方拥堵减少项目。
方法
我们使用了德克萨斯州1996年至2016年的生命统计数据(n = 810万例记录在案的出生;排除后分析了n = 6158518例出生)。我们利用分娩时的居住地址计算了各种与交通相关的暴露指标。我们采用不同的研究设计和分析方法实施研究三角测量法来检验我们关于长期累积监管改善和地方拥堵减少项目对出生结局影响的主要假设。
结果
在为期20年的研究期间内,与交通相关的暴露指标(二氧化氮[NO]空气污染、交通流量、拥堵)始终与不良出生结局相关。对居住在同一条主要道路上风处和下风处的孕妇进行的分析支持了这一发现,其中居住在下风处500米范围内与足月出生体重减少11.6克相关(95%置信区间:-18.01,-5.21)。对于所有孕妇,1996年至2016年期间NO暴露减少了59%,而居住地址500米范围内的总车辆行驶里程(VMT)保持相对稳定。我们观察到不同社会人口学特征的孕妇在TRAP暴露方面存在显著差异。虽然空气污染差距的绝对值在20年里有所缩小,但相对差距仍然存在,交通水平上的巨大差异依然存在。对于足月低出生体重(-60%,1996年最高与最低五分位数的比值比:1.08,2016年:1.03)、早产(-65%)和极早产(-61%),VMT与不良出生结局之间的关联强度降低,但对于足月出生体重则没有。对2015 - 2016年出生的婴儿使用联网设备数据对德克萨斯州所有道路测量的拥堵暴露进行的直接分析表明,拥堵与足月出生体重降低、背景交通和TRAP水平相关。当我们将旨在减少拥堵的地方项目作为自然实验进行考察并应用差异-in-差异(DiD)研究设计时,我们几乎没有发现证据表明收费项目的实施与出生结局改善相关。对于道路建设项目,我们观察到建设期间拥堵增加,建设后拥堵减少。这种动态变化转化为建设期间居住在300米范围内的孕妇足月低出生体重的几率增加(比值比1.19;95%置信区间:1.05,1.36),但建设后出生结局没有持续改善。
结论
TRAP是一个影响妊娠的重要环境卫生和公平问题。我们的结果提供了一些证据支持,即清理车辆队伍在减少不良妊娠结局方面比旨在减少拥堵的地方项目更有成效。