Kirkham James D, Hogan Kelly A, Larter Robert D, Arnold Neil S, Self Ed, Games Ken, Ely Jeremy C, Clark Chris D, Scourse James D, Shackleton Calvin, Arndt Jan Erik, Hillenbrand Claus-Dieter, Huuse Mads, Stewart Margaret A, Ottesen Dag, Dowdeswell Julian A
British Antarctic Survey, High Cross, Cambridge, UK.
Scott Polar Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Nat Commun. 2025 Apr 24;16(1):3184. doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-58304-5.
Understanding how regime shifts in iceberg calving behavior affect ice shelf stability remains a challenge for numerical models. This is an important question as we consider the fate of the ice shelves that currently buttress the Antarctic Ice Sheet and hold back the bulk of its potential upstream sea-level contribution. Using buried landforms, we demonstrate that ice shelves fringed the former British-Irish Ice Sheet (BIIS) and document their disintegration ~18,000 years ago. The ice shelves produced massive (5-10 s km wide, 50-180 m thick) tabular icebergs until widespread ice shelf break-up shifted the calving regime to smaller bergs; a change that coincided with the collapse of marine-based ice across the central North Sea. We propose that the BIIS reached a climatic threshold around 18 ka which caused massive surface melting of its ice shelves, triggering hydrofracturing of crevasses that ultimately led to their disintegration and likely enhanced ice-retreat rates.
理解冰山崩解行为的状态转变如何影响冰架稳定性,对数值模型来说仍是一项挑战。鉴于我们正在考虑当前支撑南极冰盖并抑制其大部分潜在海平面上升贡献的冰架的命运,这是一个重要问题。利用埋藏的地貌,我们证明了冰架曾环绕前英爱冰盖(BIIS),并记录了它们在约18000年前的解体。这些冰架产生了巨大的(宽5 - 10千米、厚50 - 180米)平板冰山,直到广泛的冰架破裂将崩解状态转变为较小的冰山;这一变化与北海中部海洋型冰的崩塌同时发生。我们认为,英爱冰盖在约18千年前达到了一个气候阈值,导致其冰架大规模表面融化,引发裂隙的水力破裂,最终导致冰架解体,并可能加快了冰退缩速度。