Liu Zhengyu, Cheng Jun, Zheng Yukun, Zhang Wenchao, Liu Hongyan, Wu Haibin, Zhu Jiang, Xie Shucheng
Department of Geography, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA.
School of Geography Science, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing, China.
Sci Adv. 2025 Apr 25;11(17):eadt8950. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adt8950.
Temperature is the key variable in the study of climate changes in the past and future. Most previous studies on past temperature reconstructions, however, have focused on the mean annual temperature (MAT). Here, focusing on the seasonal temperature reconstructions in the Northern Hemisphere extratropics during the Holocene period, we show that the change in seasonal cycle of temperature reconstructions is severely underestimated in comparison with the expectation from present observations. Our study highlights the current uncertainty in seasonal temperature reconstructions in the Holocene, with an implication that the MAT simulation in current climate models may not be much biased.
温度是研究过去和未来气候变化的关键变量。然而,此前大多数关于过去温度重建的研究都集中在年平均温度(MAT)上。在此,我们聚焦于全新世期间北半球温带地区的季节温度重建,结果表明,与当前观测预期相比,温度重建季节循环的变化被严重低估。我们的研究凸显了全新世季节温度重建目前存在的不确定性,这意味着当前气候模型中的年平均温度模拟可能偏差不大。