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应用简单评分量表通过脑室内出血预测低级别蛛网膜下腔出血的预后

Application of a simple scoring scale to predict prognosis of poor-grade subarachnoid haemorrhage using intraventricular haemorrhage.

作者信息

Fushimi Shuto, Akimoto Taisuke, Ohtake Makoto, Iida Yu, Miyake Shigeta, Suzuki Ryosuke, Hori Satoshi, Suenaga Jun, Nakai Yasunobu, Sakata Katsumi, Yamamoto Tetsuya

机构信息

Department of Neurosurgery, Yokohama City University Graduate School of Medicine, 3-9 Fukuura, Kanazawa-ku, Yokohama City, Kanagawa, 236-0004, Japan.

Department of Neurosurgery, Yokohama City University Medical Center, 4-57 Urafune, Minami, Yokohama, 2320024, Japan.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Apr 28;15(1):14905. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-99132-3.

Abstract

Intraventricular haemorrhage (IVH) is a key prognostic factor for subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH). However, no simple or rapid scoring method for its evaluation exists. We aimed to modify and validate a simple scale for rapid IVH grading. We engaged two study groups to generate scores and examine their utility. Study 1 identified prognostic factors in poor-grade SAH and developed a prognostic scoring system. Study 2 evaluated the utility of the score by analysing data from a multicentre patient registry, including all severity levels, and confirmed its generalisability. Outcomes were defined using the modified Rankin scale (score ≥ 3: poor outcome). Study 1 (including 110 patients with poor-grade SAH) created a simple IVH score (IVHAge) based on two slices of computed tomography images and confirmed that it was as predictive as the modified Graeb score (area under the curve: IVHAge score, 0.815; modified Graeb score, 0.752). Study 2 examined 493 patients and found that for each 1-unit increase in the IVHAge score, the odds of a poor outcome increased by 37% (unit odds ratio, 1.37; 95% confidence interval 1.10-1.70; P = 0.005). The IVHAge score, which comprises a simplified IVH score and age-related factors, has prognostic value and is suitable for rapid clinical application.

摘要

脑室内出血(IVH)是蛛网膜下腔出血(SAH)的一个关键预后因素。然而,目前尚无简单快速的评估方法。我们旨在修改并验证一种用于快速评估IVH分级的简易量表。我们让两个研究小组生成评分并检验其效用。研究1确定了低级别SAH的预后因素并开发了一种预后评分系统。研究2通过分析来自多中心患者登记处的数据(包括所有严重程度级别)评估了该评分的效用,并证实了其可推广性。使用改良Rankin量表定义结局(评分≥3:预后不良)。研究1(包括110例低级别SAH患者)基于两张计算机断层扫描图像创建了一个简易IVH评分(IVHAge),并证实其预测能力与改良Graeb评分相当(曲线下面积:IVHAge评分,0.815;改良Graeb评分,0.752)。研究2检查了493例患者,发现IVHAge评分每增加1个单位,预后不良的几率增加37%(单位比值比,1.37;95%置信区间1.10 - 1.70;P = 0.005)。IVHAge评分包括一个简化的IVH评分和与年龄相关的因素,具有预后价值,适用于临床快速应用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bfe6/12037887/0a3570686c34/41598_2025_99132_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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