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泰国孔敬市宫颈癌的发病率及生存趋势

Incidence and Survival Trends of Cervical Cancer in Khon Kaen, Thailand.

作者信息

Pasane Jakkree, Sriwatana Kan, Krasairsom Kuntawit, Suwunnapang Napatsanun, Santong Chalongpon, Chumworathayi Bandit

机构信息

Department of Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University, Thailand.

Cancer Registry Unit, Srinagarind Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University, Thailand.

出版信息

Asian Pac J Cancer Prev. 2025 Apr 1;26(4):1393-1400. doi: 10.31557/APJCP.2025.26.4.1393.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate and report the incidence and survival trends of cervical cancer in Khon Kaen, Thailand, during 1991-2020.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted by using the electronic cancer registry database of Khon Kaen province population. Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the Age-Standardized Incidence Rate (ASR) and the incidence trend graph was built. Overall Observed Survival (OS) was analyzed by Kaplan Meier method and the survival trend graph was built similarly.

RESULT

During 1991-2020, 3,071 cervical cancer patients were found in Khon Kaen. Their mean age was 51.7 year-old. The ASR had decreased from 13.51 (95%CI: 10.67-16.35) per 100,000 women-year in 1991 to 7.63 (95%CI: 5.93-9.33) per 100,000 women-year in 2020. This trend was consistent with the country's and international trends. The highest incidence was found in 1993, which was 17.73 (95%CI: 14.65-20.81), and the lowest incidence was found in 2016, which was 5.7 (95%CI: 4.30-7.10) per 100,000 women-year. However, the 5-year OS was 48.37% (95%CI: 46.49-50.22), which was a constant trend. At the beginning in 1991-1995, the OS was 40.31% (95%CI: 35.43-45.12), and at the end in 2016-2020, the OS was 40.46% (95%CI: 34.59-46.23). These were very similar.

CONCLUSION

In Khon Kaen, Thailand, during 1991-2020, the cervical cancer incidence (ASR) trend was decreasing, while the cervical cancer survival (OS) trend was constant. WHO elimination of cervical cancer initiative target should be reached by 2030.

摘要

目的

评估并报告1991 - 2020年泰国孔敬府宫颈癌的发病率和生存趋势。

方法

利用孔敬府人口的电子癌症登记数据库进行回顾性研究。采用Joinpoint回归模型分析年龄标准化发病率(ASR)并绘制发病率趋势图。采用Kaplan Meier方法分析总观察生存率(OS)并类似地绘制生存趋势图。

结果

1991 - 2020年期间,孔敬府共发现3071例宫颈癌患者。她们的平均年龄为51.7岁。年龄标准化发病率从1991年的每10万女性年13.51(95%置信区间:10.67 - 16.35)降至2020年的每10万女性年7.63(95%置信区间:5.93 - 9.33)。这一趋势与该国及国际趋势一致。发病率最高出现在1993年,为17.73(95%置信区间:14.65 - 20.81),最低出现在2016年,为每10万女性年5.7(95%置信区间:4.30 - 7.10)。然而,5年总观察生存率为48.37%(95%置信区间:图46.49 - 50.22),呈稳定趋势。1991 - 1995年初,总观察生存率为40.31%(95%置信区间:35.43 - 45.12),2016 - 2020年末,总观察生存率为40.46%(95%置信区间:34.59 - 46.23)。两者非常相似。

结论

1991 - 2020年期间,泰国孔敬府宫颈癌发病率(年龄标准化发病率)呈下降趋势,而宫颈癌生存率(总观察生存率)呈稳定趋势。世界卫生组织到2030年消除宫颈癌的倡议目标有望实现。

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