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工程建设对高寒峡谷区环境风险评估的影响研究——以西藏察雅县为例

Study on the impact of engineering construction on environmental risk assessment in alpine canyon area: a case study of Chaya County, Xizang.

作者信息

Fei Zheng, Zhang Xin, Liu Guichuan, Xu Huihong, Chen Yu, Liu Baoxian, Sillanpää Mika, Zhong Wenwu, Li Tao, Yang Xin

机构信息

School of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Xihua University, Chengdu, 610039, China.

College of Civil Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 May 12;15(1):16475. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-86049-0.

Abstract

As one of the regions with frequent engineering construction and frequent geological disasters, the alpine gorge area of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau is of great significance for its environmental risk assessment. This paper takes Chaya County in the region as the research object, combined with the essential data survey, using remote sensing images and a geographic information system (GIS) platform to carry out spatial statistics and analyze common geological disasters in the study area. Based on this, the SMOTE-Tomek-random forest (STRF) geological disaster evaluation model and the information method model were used to explore the impact of engineering construction on the susceptibility and vulnerability of geological disasters in the Alpine Canyon area. The results show that small geological disasters are mainly distributed in the study area, accounting for 67.95%; the vulnerability zoning of geological disasters in the study area is mainly low vulnerability area and low vulnerability area. Among them, the high vulnerability area accounts for 3.2%, and the high vulnerability area accounts for 9.86%. From the perspective of administrative regions, the vulnerability values of Yanduo Town, Xiangdui Town, and Jitang Town are higher, which is consistent with the distribution law regarding hidden danger points of geological disasters. Based on the STRF susceptibility model and the traditional random forest susceptibility model, the AUC values are all above 0.9. In the test set and training set, the accuracy of the STRF model is slightly reduced. However, the interpretability of the address disaster model in the Alpine Gorge area is enhanced. The region's susceptibility area is the highest, accounting for 50.59, 46.96, and 38.74%, respectively. The project's construction has increased the geological disaster-prone areas in the study area by 183.21 and 38.9 km, respectively. The results show that the STRF model is feasible in assessing geological disaster susceptibility in the Alpine Canyon area.

摘要

作为工程建设频繁且地质灾害频发的地区之一,青藏高原高山峡谷区的环境风险评估具有重要意义。本文以该地区的察雅县为研究对象,结合基础数据调查,利用遥感影像和地理信息系统(GIS)平台进行空间统计,分析研究区内常见的地质灾害。在此基础上,运用SMOTE-Tomek-随机森林(STRF)地质灾害评价模型和信息量法模型,探讨工程建设对高山峡谷区地质灾害易发性和脆弱性的影响。结果表明,研究区内小型地质灾害分布居多,占67.95%;研究区地质灾害脆弱性分区主要为低脆弱区和较低脆弱区。其中,高脆弱区占3.2%,较高脆弱区占9.86%。从行政区角度看,烟多镇、香堆镇和吉塘镇的脆弱性值较高,这与地质灾害隐患点分布规律一致。基于STRF易发性模型和传统随机森林易发性模型,AUC值均在0.9以上。在测试集和训练集中,STRF模型的准确率略有降低。然而,增强了高山峡谷区地址灾害模型的可解释性。该地区易发性面积最高,分别占50.59%、46.96%和38.74%。该项目的建设使研究区内地质灾害易发区分别增加了183.21平方公里和38.9平方公里。结果表明,STRF模型在评估高山峡谷区地质灾害易发性方面是可行的。

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