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Cost-effectiveness of low-dose CT screening for non-smokers with a first-degree relative history of lung cancer.

作者信息

Liu Yin, Guo Xiaoli, Xu Huifang, Wang Xiaoyang, Liu Hongwei, Wang Hong, Kang Ruihua, Chen Qiong, Qie Ranran, Zhao Mengfei, Cheng Cheng, Zheng Liyang, Liu Shuzheng, Qiao Youlin, Zhang Shaokai

机构信息

Department of Cancer Epidemiology, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University & Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, 450008, China.

Center for Global Health, School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100005, China.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2025 May 15;25(1):1783. doi: 10.1186/s12889-025-22977-w.


DOI:10.1186/s12889-025-22977-w
PMID:40375086
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12079829/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide, with non-smokers in China accounting for over 40% of cases. Despite the proven efficacy of low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) in early detection and reduction of lung cancer mortality, the current paradigm of lung cancer screening, heavily focused on smoking status and age, may inadequately address the unique risk factors associated with non-smokers, particularly those with a family history of the disease. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of LDCT screening for non-smokers with a first-degree relative (FDR) history of lung cancer, a group at particularly high-risk. METHODS: We developed a state-transition Markov model to evaluate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of 16 screening strategies for a hypothetical cohort of 100,000 non-smoking individuals aged 50 with a FDR history of lung cancer, considering various starting ages (50, 55, 60, 65 years) and intervals (one-off, annual, biennial, triennial). The willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold was set at three times China's 2022 per-capita GDP. Sensitivity analyses, scenario analyses and subgroup analysis by sex, were conducted. RESULTS: Compared to no screening, all strategies except one-off screening at age 50, were cost-effective for both sexes. Biennial LDCT starting at age 55 was found to be most effective, with an ICER of CNY 68,932/QALY for males, and CNY 80,056/QALY for females. This cost-effectiveness probability for this strategy was approximately 90% for both sexes. Sensitivity analyses indicated that annual screening at age 55 was optimal without discounting. For males, biennial at age 60 was optimal if the FDR-related odds ratio for lung cancer incidence was below 1.492. Triennial screening at age 55 was optimal for females at full adherence. Ignoring disutility from false-positive results, annual at age 55 was optimal for both sexes. CONCLUSIONS: LDCT screening for non-smokers with a FDR history of lung cancer is cost-effective, especially biennial screening at 55. These findings support the development of more inclusive screening guidelines, which could enhance early detection and reduce mortality rates.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e533/12079829/fe73db1acd61/12889_2025_22977_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e533/12079829/2d0789c5bbda/12889_2025_22977_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e533/12079829/73f6e6d483b9/12889_2025_22977_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e533/12079829/fe73db1acd61/12889_2025_22977_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e533/12079829/2d0789c5bbda/12889_2025_22977_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e533/12079829/73f6e6d483b9/12889_2025_22977_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e533/12079829/fe73db1acd61/12889_2025_22977_Fig3_HTML.jpg

相似文献

[1]
Cost-effectiveness of low-dose CT screening for non-smokers with a first-degree relative history of lung cancer.

BMC Public Health. 2025-5-15

[2]
Cost-effectiveness of Low-Dose Computed Tomography With a Plasma-Based Biomarker for Lung Cancer Screening in China.

JAMA Netw Open. 2022-5-2

[3]
Risk-based lung cancer screening in heavy smokers: a benefit-harm and cost-effectiveness modeling study.

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[4]
Economic evaluation of low-dose computed tomography for lung cancer screening among high-risk individuals - evidence from Hungary based on the HUNCHEST-II study.

BMC Health Serv Res. 2024-12-3

[5]
Cost-effectiveness and health impact of lung cancer screening with low-dose computed tomography for never smokers in Japan and the United States: a modelling study.

BMC Pulm Med. 2022-1-8

[6]
Low-dose chest computed tomography for lung cancer screening among Hodgkin lymphoma survivors: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys. 2014-8-4

[7]
A cost-effectiveness analysis of lung cancer screening with low-dose computed tomography and a polygenic risk score.

BMC Cancer. 2024-1-13

[8]
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[9]
Cost-effectiveness of lung cancer screening with low-dose computed tomography in heavy smokers: a microsimulation modelling study.

Eur J Cancer. 2020-6-18

[10]
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J Comp Eff Res. 2024-11

本文引用的文献

[1]
A 16-year evaluation of opportunistic lung cancer screening with low-dose CT in China: comparative findings between non-smokers and smokers.

BMC Cancer. 2024-10-28

[2]
Global cancer statistics 2022: GLOBOCAN estimates of incidence and mortality worldwide for 36 cancers in 185 countries.

CA Cancer J Clin. 2024

[3]
Risk-based lung cancer screening in heavy smokers: a benefit-harm and cost-effectiveness modeling study.

BMC Med. 2024-2-19

[4]
Risk-Adapted Starting Age of Personalized Lung Cancer Screening: A Population-Based, Prospective Cohort Study in China.

Chest. 2024-6

[5]
Cost-effectiveness of risk-based low-dose computed tomography screening for lung cancer in Switzerland.

Int J Cancer. 2024-2-15

[6]
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Risk Factor-Based Lung Cancer Screening Program by Low-Dose Computer Tomography in Current Smokers in China.

Cancers (Basel). 2023-9-6

[7]
Systematic Review of Lung Cancer Screening: Advancements and Strategies for Implementation.

Healthcare (Basel). 2023-7-21

[8]
Current and Future Perspectives on Computed Tomography Screening for Lung Cancer: A Roadmap From 2023 to 2027 From the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer.

J Thorac Oncol. 2024-1

[9]
[Prevalence of smoking in adults aged 40 years and above in China, 2019-2020].

Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi. 2023-5-10

[10]
Lung cancer screening.

Lancet. 2023-2-4

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