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陆基传感器显示沿海洪水发生频率很高。

Land-based sensors reveal high frequency of coastal flooding.

作者信息

Hino Miyuki, Anarde Katherine, Fridell Tessa, McCune Ryan, Thelen Thomas, Farquhar Elizabeth, Woodard Perri, Whipple Anthony

机构信息

University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC USA.

North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC USA.

出版信息

Commun Earth Environ. 2025;6(1):404. doi: 10.1038/s43247-025-02326-w. Epub 2025 Jun 2.

DOI:10.1038/s43247-025-02326-w
PMID:40470169
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12129808/
Abstract

Coastal flooding is occurring more frequently due to global sea-level rise, among other factors. However, current understanding of coastal flood frequency and sea-level rise impacts is predominantly based on tide gauges, which do not measure water levels on land. Here, we present data from a novel network of land-based flood sensors in the state of North Carolina, USA. We demonstrate that tide-gauge data are poor indicators of flooding: floods occur 26-128 days annually, an order of magnitude greater than what regional tide gauges suggest in some places. Improving the accuracy of coastal flood measures is critical for identifying the impacts of sea-level rise and developing effective adaptation strategies.

摘要

除其他因素外,由于全球海平面上升,沿海洪水发生得越来越频繁。然而,目前对沿海洪水频率和海平面上升影响的认识主要基于潮汐测量仪,而潮汐测量仪无法测量陆地上的水位。在此,我们展示了来自美国北卡罗来纳州一个新型陆基洪水传感器网络的数据。我们证明,潮汐测量仪数据对于洪水来说是很差的指标:每年发生洪水26 - 128天,比一些地方区域潮汐测量仪显示的情况高出一个数量级。提高沿海洪水测量的准确性对于确定海平面上升的影响以及制定有效的适应策略至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6838/12129808/588f26105bf4/43247_2025_2326_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6838/12129808/588f26105bf4/43247_2025_2326_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6838/12129808/588f26105bf4/43247_2025_2326_Fig2_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
Wind and rain compound with tides to cause frequent and unexpected coastal floods.风雨与潮汐相互作用,导致沿海地区频繁发生意想不到的洪水。
Water Res. 2024 Nov 15;266:122339. doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2024.122339. Epub 2024 Aug 28.
2
Establishing flood thresholds for sea level rise impact communication.确定用于海平面上升影响信息传播的洪水阈值。
Nat Commun. 2024 May 18;15(1):4251. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-48545-1.
3
Probabilistic structure of events controlling the after-storm recovery of coastal dunes.事件的概率结构控制着沿海沙丘的风暴后恢复。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021 Jan 5;118(1). doi: 10.1073/pnas.2013254118. Epub 2020 Dec 21.
4
New elevation data triple estimates of global vulnerability to sea-level rise and coastal flooding.新的海拔数据使全球海平面上升和沿海洪灾脆弱性的估计增加两倍。
Nat Commun. 2019 Oct 29;10(1):4844. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-12808-z.
5
High-tide flooding disrupts local economic activity.高潮位洪水扰乱了当地的经济活动。
Sci Adv. 2019 Feb 15;5(2):eaau2736. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aau2736. eCollection 2019 Feb.