Silvano Alessandro, Narayanan Aditya, Catany Rafael, Olmedo Estrella, González-Gambau Verónica, Turiel Antonio, Sabia Roberto, Mazloff Matthew R, Spira Theo, Haumann F Alexander, Naveira Garabato Alberto C
Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton SO14 3ZH, United Kingdom.
ARGANS Ltd., Plymouth PL6 8BX, United Kingdom.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2025 Jul 8;122(27):e2500440122. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2500440122. Epub 2025 Jun 30.
For decades, the surface of the polar Southern Ocean (south of 50°S) has been freshening-an expected response to a warming climate. This freshening enhanced upper-ocean stratification, reducing the upward transport of subsurface heat and possibly contributing to sea ice expansion. It also limited the formation of open-ocean polynyas. Using satellite observations, we reveal a marked increase in surface salinity across the circumpolar Southern Ocean since 2015. This shift has weakened upper-ocean stratification, coinciding with a dramatic decline in Antarctic sea ice coverage. Additionally, rising salinity facilitated the reemergence of the Maud Rise polynya in the Weddell Sea, a phenomenon last observed in the mid-1970s. Crucially, we demonstrate that satellites can now monitor these changes in real time, providing essential evidence of the Southern Ocean's potential transition toward persistently reduced sea ice coverage.
几十年来,南大洋极地地区(南纬50°以南)的表层海水一直在变淡,这是对气候变暖的预期反应。这种变淡增强了海洋上层的分层,减少了次表层热量的向上传输,并可能促使海冰扩张。它还限制了开阔海洋中冰间湖的形成。利用卫星观测,我们发现自2015年以来,环绕南极的南大洋表层盐度显著增加。这一变化削弱了海洋上层的分层,同时南极海冰覆盖面积急剧下降。此外,盐度上升促使威德尔海的毛德海隆冰间湖重现,这一现象上一次出现是在20世纪70年代中期。至关重要的是,我们证明了卫星现在可以实时监测这些变化,为南大洋可能向海冰覆盖持续减少转变提供了重要证据。