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1990 - 2021年中国成年人中因ω-3脂肪酸摄入不足所致的缺血性心脏病负担:全球疾病负担研究的年龄-时期-队列分析

Ischemic heart disease burden attributable to inadequate omega-3 fatty acid intake in Chinese adults, 1990-2021: an Age-Period-Cohort analysis of the Global Burden of Disease study.

作者信息

Luo Lin

机构信息

School of Physical Education, Guizhou Normal University, Guiyang, China.

Key Laboratory of Brain Function and Brain Disease Prevention and Treatment of Guizhou Province, Guiyang, China.

出版信息

Front Nutr. 2025 Jun 26;12:1590278. doi: 10.3389/fnut.2025.1590278. eCollection 2025.


DOI:10.3389/fnut.2025.1590278
PMID:40642173
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12240776/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Insufficient omega-3 fatty acid intake is a significant modifiable risk factor for ischemic heart disease (IHD), yet its long-term impact on the disease burden in the Chinese population remains inadequately understood. This study, based on data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, is the first comprehensive analysis of the Age-Period-Cohort (APC) dynamics of IHD burden attributable to insufficient omega-3 intake in Chinese adults from 1990 to 2021, revealing age- and sex-related heterogeneity and social determinants. METHODS: Data from the GBD 2019 study on Chinese adults aged 25-94 years, stratified by sex, were integrated. The age-period-cohort (APC) model was employed to analyze the spatiotemporal dynamics of death and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), with net drift and local drift metrics used to quantify long-term trends. RESULTS: In 2021, the death rate from IHD attributable to insufficient omega-3 intake demonstrated an exponential age gradient, with death increasing from 5.568 per 100,000 in the 25-29 age group to 3,806.93 per 100,000 in the 90-94 age group (a 684-fold increase). Male death (708.01 per 100,000) was significantly higher than female death (537.28 per 100,000), with sex differences following a nonlinear age pattern: male death was 54-78% higher than female death in younger and middle-aged adults, while female risk exceeded male risk in the 70-84 and 90-94 age groups. The DALY rate exhibited a critical turning point between the ages of 45 and 50 (30 → 475 per 100,000), with greater health risk heterogeneity observed among men (standard deviation 145.65 vs. 96.24 in women). From 1990 to 2021, the absolute number of deaths increased by 17.47%, while age-standardized death decreased by 19.72% (from 7.28 to 5.84 per 100,000), and the DALY rate declined by 41.40% (from 221.39 to 129.75 per 100,000). The APC model revealed: (1) Age effect: Death in the 90-94 age group reached 3,806.93 per 100,000, emphasizing the risks associated with extreme aging; (2) Period effect: A sharp 10% decrease in DALYs in the middle-aged group during 2005-2006, coinciding with strengthened nutrition policies; (3) Cohort effect: Death in the 1895-1994 birth cohort declined by 99.3%, reflecting progress in public health. Net drift analysis showed that the annual decline in DALY rate (-1.53%) was significantly greater than the death decline (-0.32%), with the most notable improvement in the middle-aged group (local drift of -3.87% per year). CONCLUSION: This study is the first to reveal the dynamic evolution of IHD burden attributable to insufficient omega-3 intake in China. Although both death rates and DALY rates have decreased, population aging continues to drive an increase in the absolute disease burden. By innovatively integrating Age-Period-Cohort modeling with nutritional epidemiology, this study provides multidimensional evidence to inform age- and sex-specific intervention strategies and to guide the refinement of dietary guidelines.

摘要

背景:ω-3脂肪酸摄入不足是缺血性心脏病(IHD)一个重要的可改变风险因素,但其对中国人群疾病负担的长期影响仍未得到充分了解。本研究基于全球疾病负担(GBD)研究的数据,首次全面分析了1990年至2021年中国成年人中因ω-3摄入不足导致的IHD负担的年龄-时期-队列(APC)动态变化,揭示了年龄和性别相关的异质性以及社会决定因素。 方法:整合了GBD 2019研究中按性别分层的25至94岁中国成年人的数据。采用年龄-时期-队列(APC)模型分析死亡和伤残调整生命年(DALYs)的时空动态变化,使用净漂移和局部漂移指标来量化长期趋势。 结果:2021年,因ω-3摄入不足导致的IHD死亡率呈现指数级年龄梯度,死亡率从25至29岁年龄组的每10万人5.568例增加到90至94岁年龄组的每10万人3806.93例(增加了684倍)。男性死亡率(每10万人708.01例)显著高于女性死亡率(每10万人537.28例),性别差异呈现非线性年龄模式:在年轻和中年成年人中,男性死亡率比女性死亡率高54%至78%,而在70至84岁和90至94岁年龄组中,女性风险超过男性风险。DALY率在45至50岁之间呈现一个关键转折点(每10万人从30例→475例),男性中观察到更大的健康风险异质性(标准差145.65,女性为96.24)。从1990年到2021年,死亡绝对数增加了17.47%,而年龄标准化死亡率下降了19.72%(从每10万人7.28例降至5.84例),DALY率下降了41.40%(从每10万人221.39例降至129.75例)。APC模型显示:(1)年龄效应:90至94岁年龄组的死亡率达到每10万人3806.93例,强调了与极端老龄化相关的风险;(2)时期效应:2005 - 2006年中年组的DALYs急剧下降10%,这与强化营养政策相吻合;(3)队列效应:1895 - 1994年出生队列的死亡率下降了99.3%,反映了公共卫生的进步。净漂移分析表明,DALY率的年度下降(-1.53%)显著大于死亡率的下降(-0.32%),中年组改善最为显著(每年局部漂移-3.87%)。 结论:本研究首次揭示了中国因ω-3摄入不足导致的IHD负担的动态演变。尽管死亡率和DALY率均有所下降,但人口老龄化继续推动疾病绝对负担增加。通过创新性地将年龄-时期-队列建模与营养流行病学相结合,本研究提供了多维度证据,为制定针对年龄和性别的干预策略以及完善饮食指南提供指导。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/dac2/12240776/6cede48f7ac6/fnut-12-1590278-g008.jpg
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https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/dac2/12240776/6cede48f7ac6/fnut-12-1590278-g008.jpg
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