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年龄对急性结石性胆囊炎早期胆囊切除术风险分层并非如此重要:一项对SPRiMACC研究数据库的事后分析

Age Is Not So Important for Risk Stratification in Early Cholecystectomy for Acute Calculous Cholecystitis: A Post-Hoc Analysis of the SPRiMACC Study Database.

作者信息

Fugazzola Paola, Ghaly Ahmed, Ansaloni Luca, Dal Mas Francesca, Bianchi Carlo Maria, Cicuttin Enrico, Dagnoni Andrea, Frassini Simone, Tomasoni Matteo, Cobianchi Lorenzo

机构信息

General Surgery Department, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, 27100 Pavia, Italy.

Department of Clinical, Surgical, Diagnostic & Pediatric Sciences, University of Pavia, 27100 Pavia, Italy.

出版信息

Medicina (Kaunas). 2025 Jul 7;61(7):1228. doi: 10.3390/medicina61071228.

Abstract

Early cholecystectomy (EC) is widely regarded as the first-line treatment for acute calculous cholecystitis (ACC). Current debate centers on the feasibility of EC as an option even for elderly patients. This study aims to determine whether age alone is an independent risk prediction factor for prognosis after EC for ACC. This study is a post-hoc analysis of the S.P.Ri.M.A.C.C. WSES prospective international multicenter observational study database, including patients with ACC undergoing EC. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted, examining different risk factors for major morbidity and mortality after EC. In the univariate analyses, age was found to be a statistically significant risk factor for both 30-day major complications ( < 0.001) and 30-day mortality ( = 0.003). However, in the multivariate analysis, age alone was not a significant predictor for either outcome, with -values of 0.419 and 0.094, respectively. The only significant risk factor associated with both 30-day mortality and major morbidity in the multivariate model was the POSSUM Physiological Score (PS). Age alone cannot be considered a reliable risk predictor for a complicated postoperative course after EC in patients with ACC. Frailty, rather than chronological age, should be assessed to predict the outcome of these patients.

摘要

早期胆囊切除术(EC)被广泛认为是急性结石性胆囊炎(ACC)的一线治疗方法。目前的争论焦点在于EC作为一种治疗选择对老年患者的可行性。本研究旨在确定年龄本身是否是ACC患者接受EC治疗后预后的独立风险预测因素。本研究是对S.P.Ri.M.A.C.C. WSES前瞻性国际多中心观察性研究数据库的事后分析,纳入了接受EC治疗的ACC患者。进行了单因素和多因素分析,研究EC后主要并发症和死亡率的不同风险因素。在单因素分析中,年龄被发现是30天主要并发症(<0.001)和30天死亡率(=0.003)的统计学显著风险因素。然而,在多因素分析中,年龄本身对这两种结果均不是显著的预测因素,其P值分别为0.419和0.094。多因素模型中与30天死亡率和主要并发症均相关的唯一显著风险因素是POSSUM生理评分(PS)。对于ACC患者,年龄本身不能被视为EC术后复杂病程的可靠风险预测因素。应评估衰弱程度而非实际年龄来预测这些患者的预后。

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