Suh Je Min, Raykateeraroj Nattaya, Tong Raelynn, Pilcher David, Lee Dong-Kyu, Weinberg Laurence
Department of Anaesthesia, Austin Health, 145 Studley Road, Heidelberg, VIC, Australia.
Department of Anesthesiology, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Crit Care. 2025 Aug 27;29(1):387. doi: 10.1186/s13054-025-05612-3.
BACKGROUND: As global populations age, the number of nonagenarians admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) is rising. Frailty, a multidimensional syndrome marked by diminished physiological reserves, has been associated with adverse outcomes in older ICU patients. However, evidence remains limited regarding its prognostic significance in nonagenarians, who represent a unique and rapidly growing subset of critically ill patients. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of frailty on in-hospital mortality and length of stay among nonagenarian ICU patients in Australia and New Zealand. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from the ANZICS Adult Patient Database, including nonagenarians admitted to 211 ICUs between 2017 and 2023 with documented Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) scores. Patients were classified as frail (CFS ≥ 5) or non-frail (CFS < 5). Propensity score matching (1:1) was applied to adjust for confounders including age, sex, illness severity, admission type, and comorbidities. Outcomes included ICU and hospital mortality, and ICU and hospital lengths of stay (LOS). Statistical analyses included multivariable Cox regression, log-transformed logistic regression, and Fine Gray competing risks models. RESULTS: Among 16,439 nonagenarians, 8220 patients were propensity matched. In the matched cohort, frailty was independently associated with increased hospital mortality (adjusted HR 1.352, 95% CI 1.192-1.534, p < 0.001) and ICU mortality (adjusted HR 1.242, 95% CI 1.044-1.440, p = 0.017). Each one-point increase in CFS score was associated with a 9% increase in the odds ratio of ICU mortality (OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.01-1.18, p = 0.026) and a 19% increase in the odds ratio of hospital mortality (OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.10-1.28, p < 0.001). Frailty was not associated with ICU LOS after adjustment (p = 0.739) but predicted prolonged hospital LOS (adjusted β = 1.051, 95% CI 1.033-1.070, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Frailty is a strong, independent predictor of hospital mortality and prolonged hospitalization in critically ill nonagenarians, even after adjusting for illness severity and comorbidities. These findings support the incorporation of frailty assessment into early risk stratification and clinical decision-making in ICU settings, to facilitate goal-concordant care and optimize resource allocation for the very elderly.
背景:随着全球人口老龄化,入住重症监护病房(ICU)的九旬老人数量不断增加。衰弱是一种以生理储备减少为特征的多维综合征,与老年ICU患者的不良预后相关。然而,关于其在九旬老人(这是危重症患者中一个独特且迅速增长的亚组)中的预后意义的证据仍然有限。本研究旨在评估衰弱对澳大利亚和新西兰九旬老人ICU患者住院死亡率和住院时间的影响。 方法:我们使用澳大利亚和新西兰重症监护学会(ANZICS)成人患者数据库的数据进行了一项回顾性队列研究,包括2017年至2023年间入住211个ICU且有记录的临床衰弱量表(CFS)评分的九旬老人。患者被分类为衰弱(CFS≥5)或非衰弱(CFS<5)。应用倾向得分匹配(1:1)来调整包括年龄、性别、疾病严重程度、入院类型和合并症在内的混杂因素。结局包括ICU和医院死亡率,以及ICU和医院住院时间(LOS)。统计分析包括多变量Cox回归、对数转换逻辑回归和Fine Gray竞争风险模型。 结果:在16439名九旬老人中,8220名患者进行了倾向得分匹配。在匹配队列中,衰弱与医院死亡率增加(调整后HR 1.352,95%CI 1.192 - 1.534,p<0.001)和ICU死亡率增加(调整后HR 1.242,95%CI 1.044 - 1.440,p = 0.017)独立相关。CFS评分每增加1分,ICU死亡率的优势比增加9%(OR 1.09,95%CI 1.01 - 1.18,p = 0.026),医院死亡率的优势比增加19%(OR 1.19,95%CI 1.10 - 1.28,p<0.001)。调整后衰弱与ICU住院时间无关(p = 0.739),但预测住院时间延长(调整后β = 1.051,95%CI 1.033 - 1.070,p<0.001)。 结论:即使在调整疾病严重程度和合并症后,衰弱仍是危重症九旬老人医院死亡率和住院时间延长的有力独立预测因素。这些发现支持将衰弱评估纳入ICU环境中的早期风险分层和临床决策,以促进目标一致的护理并优化对高龄患者的资源分配。
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