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韩国预防呼吸道合胞病毒感染的尼塞韦单抗经济合理价格分析。

Analysis of the economically justifiable price of nirsevimab to prevent respiratory syncytial virus infection in Korea.

作者信息

Han Hyun Jin, Jang Semin, Dahye Ryu, Lee Haeseon, Lee Jiyeon, Bae Eun Jin, Soudani Samira, Suh Hae Sun

机构信息

Department of Regulatory Science, Graduate School, Kyung Hee University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.

Institute of Regulatory Innovation through Science, Kyung Hee University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.

出版信息

Hum Vaccin Immunother. 2025 Dec;21(1):2545637. doi: 10.1080/21645515.2025.2545637. Epub 2025 Aug 28.

Abstract

The current standard-of-care prophylaxis for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is primarily administered to high-risk infant populations. We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis to determine the economically justifiable price of nirsevimab compared with the standard of care in preventing medically attended RSV-associated lower respiratory tract infections from all infants and palivizumab-eligible children <2 years in South Korea. A month-age-specific static decision-tree model was used from a societal perspective, with a primary time horizon of one RSV season and an extended time horizon of three years. The model compared nirsevimab with standard of care prevention, which included palivizumab for eligible infants and children under two during the RSV season. The outcome measure was an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) to suggest economically justifiable prices. The maximum economically justifiable price of nirsevimab was $527 at a 1 gross domestic product (GDP) per capita willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold and $607 at a 1.5 GDP per capita WTP threshold per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gain. The ICER was $33,071 per QALY at the price of $527 and $49,769 per QALY at $607 for the total population. Sensitivity analyses identified RSV epidemiology, nirsevimab effectiveness, and price as the key drivers of ICER variations. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses showed that nirsevimab was cost-effective at $527 in 55% of the simulations at the 1 GDP threshold and 54% at the 1.5 GDP threshold. Nirsevimab is estimated to be a cost-effective intervention for preventing RSV-associated lower respiratory tract infections within a universal immunization program for all infants and palivizumab-eligible children <2 years in South Korea.

摘要

目前针对呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)的标准护理预防措施主要应用于高危婴儿群体。我们进行了一项成本效益分析,以确定与韩国所有婴儿和符合使用帕利珠单抗条件的2岁以下儿童预防因就医的RSV相关下呼吸道感染的标准护理相比,尼塞维单抗在经济上合理的价格。从社会角度使用了一个月龄特定的静态决策树模型,主要时间范围为一个RSV季节,扩展时间范围为三年。该模型将尼塞维单抗与标准护理预防措施进行了比较,标准护理预防措施包括在RSV季节为符合条件的婴儿和2岁以下儿童使用帕利珠单抗。结果指标是增量成本效益比(ICER),以表明经济上合理的价格。在每质量调整生命年(QALY)增益的人均国内生产总值(GDP)支付意愿(WTP)阈值为1时,尼塞维单抗的最大经济合理价格为527美元;在人均GDP WTP阈值为1.5时,为607美元。对于总人口,在价格为527美元时,ICER为每QALY 33,071美元;在607美元时,为每QALY 49,769美元。敏感性分析确定RSV流行病学、尼塞维单抗有效性和价格是ICER变化的关键驱动因素。概率敏感性分析表明,在GDP阈值为1时,55%的模拟中尼塞维单抗在527美元时具有成本效益;在GDP阈值为1.5时,54%的模拟中具有成本效益。据估计,在韩国针对所有婴儿和符合使用帕利珠单抗条件的2岁以下儿童的通用免疫计划中,尼塞维单抗是预防RSV相关下呼吸道感染的一种具有成本效益的干预措施。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/56c7/12396126/b10469b1ce62/KHVI_A_2545637_F0001_OC.jpg

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