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入住重症监护病房的免疫炎性疾病患者致死结局的预测因素。

Predictors of lethal outcome in patients with immunoinflammatory diseases hospitalized in the intensive care unit.

作者信息

Abramova Natalia N, Avrusin Ilia S, Kozlova Olga P, Firsova Liudmila A, Kuleshova Anastasia G, Kondratiev Gleb V, Ivanov Dmitry O, Aleksandrovich Yury S, Kostik Mikhail M

机构信息

Department of Anesthesiology, Resuscitation and Emergency Pediatrics, Saint Petersburg State Pediatric Medical University, Saint Petersburg 194100, Russia.

Department of Hospital Pediatrics, Saint Petersburg State Pediatric Medical University, Saint Petersburg 194100, Russia.

出版信息

World J Crit Care Med. 2025 Sep 9;14(3):101890. doi: 10.5492/wjccm.v14.i3.101890.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Systemic immunoinflammatory diseases can affect multiple systems and organs. They have a severe course and severe complications, causing multiple organ failure and death. Quite often these patients are required to be hospitalized in the intensive care unit (ICU). Approximately 50% of patients with multisystem inflammatory syndrome associated with coronavirus disease 2019 in children and systemic lupus erythematosus need admission to the ICU.

AIM

To find early predictors of death in patients with immunoinflammatory diseases who are hospitalized in the ICU.

METHODS

The retrospective continuous cohort study included 51 patients (23 males, 28 females) with immunoinflammatory diseases, including multisystem inflammatory syndrome associated with coronavirus disease 2019 ( = 18), systemic rheumatic diseases ( = 24), and generalized infections ( = 9). The patients ranged in age from 7 months to 17 years old and were admitted to the ICU of the clinic of Saint Petersburg State Pediatric Medical University from 2007 to 2023.

RESULTS

Thirteen patients (25.5%) died within 39 (17; 62) days after ICU admission. Patients with an unfavorable outcome were significantly older and were admitted to the ICU later than patients who survived (30 days 7 days, = 0.013) and had a longer stay in the ICU (30 days 6 days, = 0.003). The main predictors of the fatal outcome were age > 162 months [odds ratio (OR) = 10.7; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.4-47.2], = 0.0006], time to ICU admission > 26 days from the disease onset (OR = 12.0; 95%CI: 2.6-55.3, = 0.008), preceding immune suppression treatment (OR = 6.2; 95%CI: 1.6-24.0, = 0.013), invasive mycosis during the ICU stay (OR = 18.8; 95%CI: 1.9-184.1, = 0.0005), systemic rheumatic diseases (OR = 7.2; 95%CI: 1.7-31.1, = 0.004), and ICU stay over 15 days (OR = 19.1; 95%CI: 4.0-91.8, = 0.00003). Multiple regression analysis ( = 0.422, < 0.000002) identified two predictors of the fatal outcomes: Systemic rheumatic diseases ( = 0.015) and ICU stay over 15 days ( = 0.00002).

CONCLUSION

Identifying patients at high risk of an unfavorable outcome is the subject of the most careful monitoring and appropriate treatment program. Avoiding ICU stays for patients with systemic rheumatic diseases, close monitoring, and preventing invasive mycosis might improve the outcome in children with systemic immune-mediated diseases.

摘要

背景

系统性免疫炎症性疾病可累及多个系统和器官。其病程严重且并发症严重,可导致多器官功能衰竭和死亡。这些患者常常需要入住重症监护病房(ICU)。在儿童2019冠状病毒病相关多系统炎症综合征和系统性红斑狼疮患者中,约50%需要入住ICU。

目的

寻找入住ICU的免疫炎症性疾病患者死亡的早期预测因素。

方法

这项回顾性连续性队列研究纳入了51例免疫炎症性疾病患者(男性23例,女性28例),包括2019冠状病毒病相关多系统炎症综合征(n = 18)、系统性风湿性疾病(n = 24)和全身性感染(n = 9)。患者年龄从7个月至17岁不等,于2007年至2023年入住圣彼得堡国立儿科医科大学临床医院的ICU。

结果

13例患者(25.5%)在入住ICU后39(17;62)天内死亡。预后不良的患者年龄显著更大,入住ICU的时间比存活患者更晚(30天±7天,P = 0.013),且在ICU的停留时间更长(30天±6天,P = 0.003)。死亡结局的主要预测因素为年龄>162个月[比值比(OR)= 10.7;95%置信区间(CI):2.4 - 47.2,P = 0.0006]、从疾病发作至入住ICU的时间>26天(OR = 12.0;95%CI:2.6 - 55.3,P = 0.008)、先前的免疫抑制治疗(OR = 6.2;95%CI:1. — 24.0,P = 0.013)、在ICU停留期间发生侵袭性真菌病(OR = 18.8;95%CI:1.9 - 184.1,P = 0.0005)、系统性风湿性疾病(OR = 7.2;95%CI:1.7 - 31.1,P = 0.004)以及在ICU停留超过15天(OR = 19.1;95%CI:4.0 - 91.8,P = 0.00003)。多元回归分析(R² = 0.422,P < 0.000002)确定了死亡结局的两个预测因素:系统性风湿性疾病(P = 0.015)和在ICU停留超过15天(P = 0.00002)。

结论

识别预后不良高风险患者是最密切监测和制定适当治疗方案的重点。避免系统性风湿性疾病患者入住ICU、密切监测并预防侵袭性真菌病可能改善系统性免疫介导疾病患儿的预后。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d674/12305108/ac9690871830/wjccm-14-3-101890-g001.jpg

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