Oshikiri Taro, Tachimori Hisateru, Miyata Hiroaki, Kakeji Yoshihiro, Shirabe Ken
Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Surgical Oncology Ehime University Graduate School of Medicine Toon Ehime Japan.
Division of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Department of Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine Kobe University Kobe Hyogo Japan.
Ann Gastroenterol Surg. 2025 May 1;9(5):942-951. doi: 10.1002/ags3.70027. eCollection 2025 Sep.
Conventional minimally invasive esophagectomy (C-MIE) is the mainstay for locally advanced esophageal cancer. However, the relationship among facility size, risk-adjusted mortality and morbidity in C-MIE remains unclear. This study aims to clarify whether C-MIE should be consolidated into high-volume centers in Japan.
Risk models for perioperative mortality and morbidity were created using the Japanese National Clinical Database (NCD) data. NCD data registered between January 2016 and December 2020, including 14 152 C-MIE records. The developed risk models were used to estimate the ratio of expected to observed events (perioperative deaths or complications) (O/E ratio) for each facility.
Regarding the risk model performances, the C-indices of the perioperative mortality risk prediction models were 0.793. The O/E ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI) for perioperative mortality were facility size < 10 MIEs/year, O/E ratio: 1.368 and 95% CI: 1.140-1.597; facility size 10-29 MIEs/year, O/E ratio: 0.886 and 95% CI: 0.644-1.127; and facility size ≥ 30 MIEs/year, O/E ratio: 0. 61 and 95% CI: 0.342-0.892. Conversely, there were no significant differences in morbidity rate by facility size.
The risk of perioperative mortality from C-MIE was lower in hospitals with larger facilities than those with smaller facilities; therefore, consolidating patients for C-MIE in high-volume hospitals is necessary.
传统微创食管癌切除术(C-MIE)是局部晚期食管癌的主要治疗方法。然而,C-MIE中医疗机构规模、风险调整后的死亡率和发病率之间的关系仍不清楚。本研究旨在阐明在日本C-MIE是否应集中于高手术量中心。
使用日本国家临床数据库(NCD)数据创建围手术期死亡率和发病率的风险模型。NCD数据记录于2016年1月至2020年12月之间,包括14152条C-MIE记录。所开发的风险模型用于估计每个医疗机构预期事件与观察到的事件(围手术期死亡或并发症)的比率(O/E比率)。
关于风险模型性能,围手术期死亡风险预测模型的C指数为0.793。围手术期死亡率的O/E比率和95%置信区间(CI)为:医疗机构规模<每年10例MIE,O/E比率:1.368,95%CI:1.140-1.597;医疗机构规模为每年10-29例MIE,O/E比率:0.886,95%CI:0.644-1.127;医疗机构规模≥每年30例MIE,O/E比率:0.61,95%CI:0.342-0.892。相反,不同医疗机构规模的发病率无显著差异。
设施规模较大的医院进行C-MIE的围手术期死亡风险低于规模较小的医院;因此,有必要将C-MIE患者集中到高手术量医院。