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提高门诊统筹水平对中国医疗服务利用、成本及基金支出的影响:一项中断时间序列分析

Impact of Enhanced Outpatient Pooling Level on Healthcare Utilization, Costs and Fund Expenditures in China: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis.

作者信息

Wu Yanghaotian, Zheng Shuting, Qiu Jingfu

机构信息

School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, People's Republic of China.

School of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Risk Manag Healthc Policy. 2025 Sep 10;18:2977-2989. doi: 10.2147/RMHP.S541047. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

China introduced the outpatient pooling fund model into Urban Employee Basic Medical Insurance (UEBMI) to increase the compensation level for outpatient costs, but the empirical evidence is extremely limited. As an early adopter of China's healthcare reform, Sanming City increased the reimbursement rate of general outpatient visits for UEBMI enrollee in August 2016. The reimbursement rate for UEBMI enrollees seeking general outpatient care at primary hospitals increased from 40% to 90%, and for secondary and above hospitals from 30% to 70%. This study aimed to assess the changes in medical service utilization, medical costs, and medical insurance fund expenditures among UEBMI enrollees after the improvement of outpatient pooling level for employees.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted using monthly monitoring data on public hospitals from August 2015 to August 2017 in Sanming City, China. An interrupted time-series analysis was performed to evaluate the level and trend changes in medical services utilization, medical costs, and UEBMI fund expenditures before and after the improvement of outpatient pooling level.

RESULTS

After the intervention, the number of monthly outpatient visits per capita for UEBMI enrollees increased by 0.047 immediately (<0.05), while the change in inpatient demand was insignificant (0.05). The medical cost per outpatient visit increased by 0.6% per month (<0.001). The out-of-pocket (OOP) cost per outpatient visit decreased by 23.66% immediately (<0.001), with a monthly increase of 1.61% afterward (<0.001). The outpatient fund expenditures increased by 151.68% immediately (<0.001), but decreased by 2.37% per month in the long term (<0.01). The total and inpatient fund expenditures varied insignificantly (0.05).

CONCLUSION

The improvement of outpatient pooling level for urban employees had positive effects on stimulating the demand for outpatient medical services, reducing OOP costs, and maintaining the sustainability of UEBMI funds, while the long-term effect was weakened, and the substitution effect between inpatient and outpatient healthcare was insignificant. There is an urgent need to improve the outpatient benefits, establish a value-based outpatient payment method and an intelligent medical insurance fund monitoring system.

摘要

背景

中国将门诊统筹基金模式引入城镇职工基本医疗保险(UEBMI)以提高门诊费用补偿水平,但实证证据极为有限。作为中国医疗改革的早期 adopters,三明市于 2016 年 8 月提高了 UEBMI 参保人员普通门诊就诊的报销比例。UEBMI 参保人员在基层医院寻求普通门诊治疗的报销比例从 40%提高到 90%,在二级及以上医院从 30%提高到 70%。本研究旨在评估提高职工门诊统筹水平后 UEBMI 参保人员的医疗服务利用、医疗费用和医疗保险基金支出的变化。

方法

利用中国三明市 2015 年 8 月至 2017 年 8 月公立医院的月度监测数据进行回顾性分析。进行中断时间序列分析以评估门诊统筹水平提高前后医疗服务利用、医疗费用和 UEBMI 基金支出的水平和趋势变化。

结果

干预后,UEBMI 参保人员人均每月门诊就诊次数立即增加了 0.047(<0.05),而住院需求变化不显著(0.05)。每次门诊就诊的医疗费用每月增加 0.6%(<0.001)。每次门诊就诊的自付费用立即下降了 23.66%(<0.001),之后每月增加 1.61%(<0.001)。门诊基金支出立即增加了 151.68%(<0.001),但从长期来看每月下降 2.37%(<0.01)。总基金支出和住院基金支出变化不显著(0.05)。

结论

提高城镇职工门诊统筹水平对刺激门诊医疗服务需求、降低自付费用和维持 UEBMI 基金的可持续性有积极影响,但其长期效果减弱,住院和门诊医疗之间的替代效应不显著。迫切需要提高门诊待遇,建立基于价值的门诊支付方式和智能医疗保险基金监测系统。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4c2d/12433653/364e5bc4ab6f/RMHP-18-2977-g0001.jpg

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