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[高处坠落中自杀与意外的数学 - 统计学鉴别(作者译)]

[Mathematic-statistical discrimination between suicide and accident in falls from height (author's transl)].

作者信息

Berghaus G

出版信息

Z Rechtsmed. 1978 Jan 31;80(4):273-86. doi: 10.1007/BF02092324.

Abstract

On the basis of 185 deaths caused by falls from height we examined the probability to differentiate between suicide and accident. Variables about the person, about the course and the background of the action as well as about the injury-pattern were taken into consideration. Contingency table analysis, chilsqare tests and probportional reduction in error measure were used first to determine the significant differences in criminal classification: sex, job, domicile, hour of the day, locality and height of the fall and the injuries established by postmortem examination. To test the discriminative power of the identified characteristics discriminant function analysis was used. Utilizing only 11 characteristics 88,6 percent of the deaths could be classified correctly.

摘要

基于185例高处坠落致死案例,我们研究了区分自杀和意外的可能性。考虑了关于当事人、行为过程和背景以及损伤模式的变量。首先使用列联表分析、卡方检验和误差比例减少量度来确定犯罪分类中的显著差异:性别、职业、住所、一天中的时间、地点、坠落高度以及尸检确定的损伤。为了检验所确定特征的判别能力,使用了判别函数分析。仅利用11个特征,88.6%的死亡案例能够被正确分类。

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