Lubin J H, Boice J D, Edling C, Hornung R W, Howe G, Kunz E, Kusiak R A, Morrison H I, Radford E P, Samet J M
Biostatistics Branch, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA.
Health Phys. 1995 Oct;69(4):494-500. doi: 10.1097/00004032-199510000-00007.
Recent models for radon-induced lung cancer assume that at high levels of cumulative exposure, as experienced historically by many underground miners of uranium and other ores, the risk of lung cancer follows an inverse dose-rate (protraction enhancement) pattern. That is, for equal total dose, a greater risk is incurred by those whose total dose is accumulated at a lower rate over a longer duration than at a higher rate over a shorter duration. This inverse dose-rate effect is hypothesized to be the consequence of multiple traversals of the nucleus of a target cell by alpha particles. It has recently been concluded, however, that for low total doses, as in most residential settings, the inverse dose-rate effect should diminish and perhaps even disappear, since at very low doses the probability that more than one alpha particle would traverse a cell is small and there would be no possibility for interactions from multiple hits. Pooling original data from 11 cohort studies of underground miners, including nearly 1.2 million person-y of observation and 2,701 lung cancer deaths, we evaluate the presence of an inverse dose-rate effect and its modification by total dose. An inverse dose-rate effect was confirmed in each cohort, except one, and overall in the pooled data. There also appears to be a diminution of the inverse dose-rate effect below 50 Working Level Months (WLM), although analyses were necessarily hampered by a limited range of exposure rates at low total WLM. These data support both the presence of an inverse dose-rate effect, as well as its diminution at low total dose. As a consequence, assessment of risks of radon progeny exposure in homes (on average 15-20 WLM for a lifetime) using miner-based models should not assume an ever-increasing risk per unit dose. Rather, it is more appropriate to apply risk models that take into account protraction enhancement and its diminution.
近期关于氡致肺癌的模型假定,在高累积暴露水平下,正如许多铀矿及其他矿石的地下矿工在历史上所经历的那样,肺癌风险遵循逆剂量率(延长增强)模式。也就是说,对于相同的总剂量,总剂量以较低速率在较长时间内累积的人比总剂量以较高速率在较短时间内累积的人面临更大风险。这种逆剂量率效应被假定为α粒子多次穿过靶细胞核的结果。然而,最近得出的结论是,对于低总剂量,如大多数居住环境中的情况,逆剂量率效应应该减弱甚至可能消失,因为在非常低的剂量下,多个α粒子穿过一个细胞的概率很小,并且不存在多次击中产生相互作用的可能性。我们汇总了11项地下矿工队列研究的原始数据,包括近120万人年的观察期和2701例肺癌死亡病例,评估逆剂量率效应的存在及其受总剂量的影响。除了一个队列外,在每个队列以及汇总数据中总体上都证实了逆剂量率效应。在总工作水平月(WLM)低于50时,逆剂量率效应似乎也有所减弱,不过分析必然受到低总WLM时暴露率范围有限的阻碍。这些数据既支持逆剂量率效应的存在,也支持其在低总剂量时的减弱。因此,使用基于矿工的模型评估家庭中氡子体暴露的风险(一生平均为15 - 20 WLM)时,不应假定每单位剂量的风险会不断增加。相反,应用考虑延长增强及其减弱的风险模型更为合适。