Hu T W, Ren Q F, Keeler T E, Bartlett J
School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley 94720, USA.
Health Econ. 1995 Jan-Feb;4(1):7-14. doi: 10.1002/hec.4730040102.
This study contributes to the understanding of the demand for cigarettes by taking into account the interdependence of smoking and other behavioural risk factors. Information on smoking and other behavioural risk factors including drinking, alcohol use, and obesity were obtained from the California Behavioural Risk Factor Survey for the period 1985-91. A monthly cigarette price index for California was constructed based on data obtained from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A two-part model was used to examine separately the effect of price on the decision to be a smoker, and on the amount of cigarettes smoked by smokers. The overall price elasticity of cigarettes was estimated at -0.46, with a price elasticity of -0.33 for smoking participation and of -0.22 for the amount of cigarettes consumed by smokers. The inclusion of other behavioural risk factors reduced the estimated price elasticity for smoking participation substantially, but had no effect on the conditional price elasticity for the quantity of cigarettes smoked.
本研究通过考虑吸烟与其他行为风险因素之间的相互依存关系,有助于理解对香烟的需求。关于吸烟以及包括饮酒、酒精使用和肥胖在内的其他行为风险因素的信息,取自1985 - 1991年期间的《加利福尼亚行为风险因素调查》。基于从劳工统计局获得的数据构建了加利福尼亚州的月度香烟价格指数。采用两部分模型分别检验价格对成为吸烟者的决策以及对吸烟者吸烟量的影响。香烟的总体价格弹性估计为 -0.46,吸烟参与度的价格弹性为 -0.33,吸烟者消费的香烟量的价格弹性为 -0.22。纳入其他行为风险因素大幅降低了吸烟参与度的估计价格弹性,但对吸烟者吸烟量的条件价格弹性没有影响。