Cocco P, Bernardinelli L, Biddau P, Montomoli C, Murgia G, Rapallo M, Targhetta R
Istituto di Medicina del Lavoro, Università di Cagliari, Italy.
Tumori. 1993 Aug 31;79(4):244-5. doi: 10.1177/030089169307900402.
Public concern on an increased incidence of childhood leukemia in SW Sardinia prompted the authors to an epidemiological investigation.
Incident childhood neoplasms observed in the Cagliari province (Sardinia--Italy) in 1974-1989 were registered. Expected cases of the most frequent childhood cancers were calculated for each town, based on the sex-and age-specific incidence rates in the province.
An excess risk of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) was observed in Carbonia, a town located in the SW part of the province. The risk was highest in 1983-85, when 7 cases occurred versus 0.8 expected (RR = 8.7; 95% C.I. = 4.6, 16.3). No spatial clustering of ALL cases was observed within the town.
A significantly higher than expected incidence of childhood ALL was observed in the town of Carbonia in 1983-85. In alternative to chance, possible exposure to environmental pollutants from a near industrial settlement is discussed as the cause of the observed excess, but it is far to be proven. Other hypotheses, including a viral infection in a population with increased susceptibility, as suggested for new urban settlements, cannot be discarded.
撒丁岛西南部儿童白血病发病率上升引发公众关注,促使作者开展一项流行病学调查。
记录1974 - 1989年在意大利撒丁岛卡利亚里省观察到的儿童新发肿瘤病例。根据该省按性别和年龄划分的发病率,计算每个城镇最常见儿童癌症的预期病例数。
在该省西南部的卡尔博尼亚镇观察到儿童急性淋巴细胞白血病(ALL)存在超额风险。1983 - 1985年风险最高,当时发生了7例病例,而预期为0.8例(相对危险度=8.7;95%可信区间=4.6, 16.3)。在该镇内未观察到ALL病例的空间聚集现象。
1983 - 1985年卡尔博尼亚镇观察到儿童ALL发病率显著高于预期。除了偶然因素外,讨论了可能因附近工业定居点的环境污染物暴露导致观察到的超额发病率,但远未得到证实。其他假设,包括如针对新城市定居点所提出的易感人群中的病毒感染,也不能排除。