Zenger E
Princeton University, Office of Population Research, NJ 08544.
Demography. 1993 Aug;30(3):477-88.
This paper studies the familial association of neonatal mortality in Matlab, Bangladesh and its relationship to birth-spacing effects on mortality. Findings show that familial association is strongest for siblings of adjacent birth orders. Moreover, birth-spacing effects on neonatal mortality are stronger when the preceding child has survived the neonatal period than when it has died. Transitional (Markov), random-effects, and marginal models for correlated data are introduced, and are contrasted in interpretation and technique. Familial association of neonatal mortality can be approximately well by a first-order Markov model using generalized estimating equations (GEE) to allow for higher-order correlation.
本文研究了孟加拉国马特莱地区新生儿死亡率的家族关联及其与生育间隔对死亡率影响的关系。研究结果表明,家族关联在相邻出生顺序的兄弟姐妹中最为强烈。此外,当之前的孩子度过新生儿期时,生育间隔对新生儿死亡率的影响比孩子死亡时更强。引入了用于相关数据的过渡(马尔可夫)模型、随机效应模型和边际模型,并在解释和技术方面进行了对比。使用广义估计方程(GEE)的一阶马尔可夫模型可以较好地近似新生儿死亡率的家族关联,以考虑高阶相关性。