Weinberg C R
National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Research Triangle Park, NC 27709.
Am J Epidemiol. 1993 Jan 1;137(1):1-8. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a116591.
Epidemiologists are aware that the estimated effect of an exposure can be biased if the investigator fails to adjust for confounding factors when analyzing either a prospective or retrospective etiologic study. Standard texts warn, however, that intervening factors are an exception: one should not adjust for any factor which is intermediate on the causal pathway between the exposure and the disease. Other factors which are not on the causal pathway but are caused in part by the exposure are often adjusted for in epidemiologic studies. This paper illustrates that bias can result when adjustment is made for any factor which is caused in part by the exposure under study and is also correlated with the outcome under study. Intervening variables are only one example of this phenomenon. The misleading effects of this practice are illustrated with examples.
流行病学家们清楚,如果研究者在分析前瞻性或回顾性病因学研究时未能对混杂因素进行调整,那么暴露因素的估计效应可能会产生偏差。然而,标准文献警告说,干预因素是个例外:对于处于暴露因素与疾病之间因果路径上的任何因素,都不应进行调整。其他不在因果路径上但部分由暴露因素引起的因素,在流行病学研究中通常会进行调整。本文表明,对于部分由所研究的暴露因素引起且与所研究的结果相关的任何因素进行调整时,可能会导致偏差。干预变量只是这种现象的一个例子。文中通过实例说明了这种做法的误导性影响。