Dooley J, Gordon K, Camfield P, Camfield C, Smith E
Department of Pediatrics, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
Neurology. 1996 Apr;46(4):969-74. doi: 10.1212/wnl.46.4.969.
We studied 97 children who were weaned from antiepileptic drug therapy 1 year after their last seizure. Medication was withdrawn over 4 to 8 weeks, and patients were followed for 12 to 57 months (32.4 +/- 13.1; mean +/- SD) or until seizure recurrence. The overall probability of remaining seizure free was 78% at 3 months, 71% at 6 months, 66% at 12 months, and 61% at 24 months (95% CI, 51, 71), similar to studies that have required longer treatment periods. Factors retained in multivariate analysis were female sex, age at seizure onset over 120 months of age, seizure type, and clinical evidence of neurologic abnormalities. Using these risk factors, a simple method of predicting the 24-month recurrence risk was possible.
我们研究了97名在最后一次癫痫发作1年后停用抗癫痫药物治疗的儿童。药物在4至8周内逐渐停用,患者随访12至57个月(32.4±13.1;均值±标准差)或直至癫痫复发。3个月时无癫痫发作的总体概率为78%,6个月时为71%,12个月时为66%,24个月时为61%(95%置信区间,51, 71),与需要更长治疗期的研究结果相似。多变量分析中保留的因素包括女性性别、癫痫发作起始年龄超过120个月、癫痫发作类型以及神经学异常的临床证据。利用这些危险因素,可以采用一种简单方法预测24个月时的复发风险。