Leinster S J
Department of Surgery, University of Liverpool, U.K.
Biochem Soc Symp. 1998;63:185-91.
The use of molecular markers is being explored in the prediction of risk of developing breast cancer, in the assessment of prognosis and in the identification of appropriate treatment. Rational selection of treatment for a patient requires an accurate assessment of the prognosis and prediction of the response to a given treatment. Neither of these is possible with current clinicopathological markers. As a result, the current management of breast cancer is empirical, based on the outcome of randomized clinical trials that examine average effects within populations. Clinicopathological factors can be used to separate patients into broad prognostic groups, and treatment decisions are made on this basis. With this approach up to 70% of patients receive adjuvant treatment that is either unnecessary or ineffective. Molecular biological markers have the potential to improve this situation. A wide range of markers have been shown to be predictors of prognosis, but added individually to current prognostic indicators they do not improve the functional accuracy of prognosis or response prediction. There is a need for a molecular prognostic index that combines the results of a number of markers and can be used in conjunction with a clinical index to produce a more useful prognosis. There is also a need for an index that will predict responses to specific treatments. The impact of molecular biology on clinical management is a revolution waiting to happen.
分子标记物在预测乳腺癌发病风险、评估预后以及确定合适治疗方案方面的应用正在探索之中。为患者合理选择治疗方案需要准确评估预后并预测对特定治疗的反应。而目前的临床病理标记物无法做到这两点。因此,目前乳腺癌的治疗是经验性的,基于在人群中检验平均效应的随机临床试验结果。临床病理因素可用于将患者分为大致的预后组,并据此做出治疗决策。采用这种方法,高达70%的患者接受了要么不必要要么无效的辅助治疗。分子生物学标记物有可能改善这种情况。已证明多种标记物可作为预后预测指标,但单独将它们添加到当前的预后指标中并不能提高预后或反应预测的功能准确性。需要一种分子预后指数,它能整合多种标记物的结果,并可与临床指数结合使用以得出更有用的预后。还需要一种能预测对特定治疗反应的指数。分子生物学对临床管理的影响是一场即将到来的革命。