Meningaud J P, Roudot-Thoraval F, Bertrand J C, Guilbert F
Division of Stomatology and Maxillofacial Surgery, Salpêtrière University Hospital, Paris.
Oral Surg Oral Med Oral Pathol Oral Radiol Endod. 1998 Mar;85(3):272-5. doi: 10.1016/s1079-2104(98)90007-5.
The purpose of this study was to investigate the popular belief that the incidence of odontogenic cellulitis is weather-related. Two meteorologic parameters were examined: temperature and atmospheric pressure.
To test the hypothesis being studied, a retrospective cohort study design was used. Medical reports of all patients with serious odontogenic cellulitis who were treated at the Salpêtrière University Hospital between January 1, 1995, and December 31, 1995, (a total of 301 cases) were evaluated in relation to the weather. Hypothesizing that the incidence of odontogenic cellulitis was constant over a period of 1 year, the authors calculated the probability of observed incidence for each month over a 12-month period. The mean number of cases of odontogenic cellulitis (+/- standard error of the mean) for days on which (1) the temperature was within the same 2 degrees -C (3.6 degrees -F) interval and (2) the atmospheric pressure was within the same 3-hPa (2.25-mmHg) interval was also calculated.
When the monthly incidence of odontogenic cellulitis and either the average temperature or the average atmospheric pressure for each month were examined together, fluctuation in the former seemed to be independent of the latter. Similarly, when we calculated the mean number of cases of odontogenic cellulitis for several intervals of temperature and atmospheric pressure without taking the calendar into account, no direct relationship could be observed.
The results of the study suggest that the occurrence of odontogenic cellulitis is not influenced by the weather, at least insofar as weather is measured by temperature and atmospheric pressure.
本研究旨在调查一种普遍观点,即牙源性蜂窝织炎的发病率与天气有关。研究了两个气象参数:温度和大气压。
为检验所研究的假设,采用了回顾性队列研究设计。对1995年1月1日至1995年12月31日在萨尔佩特里埃大学医院接受治疗的所有严重牙源性蜂窝织炎患者的医疗报告(共301例)进行了与天气相关的评估。假设牙源性蜂窝织炎的发病率在1年期间保持恒定,作者计算了12个月期间每个月观察到的发病率的概率。还计算了在(1)温度处于相同的2摄氏度(3.6华氏度)区间和(2)大气压处于相同的3百帕(2.25毫米汞柱)区间的日子里牙源性蜂窝织炎病例的平均数量(±平均标准误差)。
当将牙源性蜂窝织炎的月发病率与每个月的平均温度或平均大气压一起检查时,前者的波动似乎与后者无关。同样,当我们在不考虑日历的情况下计算几个温度和大气压区间的牙源性蜂窝织炎病例平均数量时,未观察到直接关系。
研究结果表明,牙源性蜂窝织炎的发生不受天气影响,至少就通过温度和大气压测量的天气而言是这样。