Carvalhal G F, Smith D S, Mager D E, Ramos C, Catalona W J
Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri 63110, USA.
J Urol. 1999 Mar;161(3):835-9.
We evaluated the detection rate of prostate cancer in men with suspicious digital rectal examination findings and serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) 4 ng./ml. or less. We also evaluated the stage and grade of cancers detected.
We screened 22,513 community volunteers by PSA testing and digital rectal examination at 6-month intervals. Biopsy was recommended when either test was suspicious for cancer. In the subset of 2,703 white and black men in whom PSA was 4 ng./ml. or less and digital rectal examination was suspicious for prostate cancer we compared compliance with biopsy recommendations, cancer detection rates, and stage and grade of cancers detected. We then correlated these results with patient age, race and serum PSA concentration. We performed multivariate logistic regression analysis to predict cancer based on clinical characteristics, and evaluated the positive predictive value of digital rectal examination for detecting cancer as stratified by race and PSA.
Of the men 70% underwent biopsy with no difference in compliance according to age, race or PSA level. The 13% cancer detection rate correlated with age, race and PSA (p <0.003). The positive predictive value of a suspicious digital rectal examination was 5, 14 and 30% in men with PSA 0 to 1.0, 1.1 to 2.5 and 2.6 to 4.0 ng./ml., respectively. All cancers were clinically localized. Of the 72% of cases that were surgically staged 82% were organ confined and 78% were moderately differentiated.
The positive predictive value of suspicious digital rectal examination was appreciable in men with low serum PSA. The majority of cancer cases detected by digital rectal examination had features of clinically important and potentially curable disease.
我们评估了直肠指检结果可疑且血清前列腺特异性抗原(PSA)为4 ng/ml或更低的男性中前列腺癌的检出率。我们还评估了所检出癌症的分期和分级。
我们对22,513名社区志愿者每隔6个月进行一次PSA检测和直肠指检筛查。当任何一项检查结果可疑为癌症时,建议进行活检。在2703名PSA为4 ng/ml或更低且直肠指检可疑为前列腺癌的白人和黑人男性子集中,我们比较了对活检建议的依从性、癌症检出率以及所检出癌症的分期和分级。然后我们将这些结果与患者年龄、种族和血清PSA浓度进行关联。我们进行多变量逻辑回归分析以根据临床特征预测癌症,并评估直肠指检按种族和PSA分层检测癌症的阳性预测值。
70%的男性接受了活检,依从性在年龄、种族或PSA水平方面无差异。13%的癌症检出率与年龄、种族和PSA相关(p<0.003)。PSA为0至1.0 ng/ml、1.1至2.5 ng/ml和2.6至4.0 ng/ml的男性中,直肠指检可疑的阳性预测值分别为5%、14%和30%。所有癌症均为临床局限性。在接受手术分期的72%的病例中,82%为器官局限型,78%为中度分化。
在血清PSA水平较低的男性中,直肠指检可疑的阳性预测值相当可观。通过直肠指检检出的大多数癌症病例具有临床上重要且可能治愈的疾病特征。