Foley D J, Ostfeld A M, Branch L G, Wallace R B, McGloin J, Cornoni-Huntley J C
National Institute on Aging, Bethesda, MD 20892.
J Aging Health. 1992 May;4(2):155-73. doi: 10.1177/089826439200400201.
Beginning in 1982, the 3-year incidence of nursing home admission was determined for community-dwelling residents aged 65 and over in East Boston, Massachusetts (4%); New Haven, Connecticut (9%); and Iowa and Washington Counties, Iowa (12%). A common methodology was used to collect baseline risk factor and follow-up data on nursing home admissions among persons in each community as part of the National Institute on Aging's Established Populations for Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly. A multivariate logistic regression model of baseline risk factors that included the participant's age, race, sex, history of prior admission, ADL limitations, cognitive function, living arrangements, and level of income predicted 80% of the users in each community.
从1982年开始，对马萨诸塞州东波士顿、康涅狄格州纽黑文以及爱荷华州爱荷华县和华盛顿县65岁及以上的社区居民进行了养老院入住情况的三年发病率测定，分别为4%、9%和12%。作为美国国立衰老研究所老年人流行病学研究既定人群的一部分，采用了一种通用方法来收集每个社区居民养老院入住的基线风险因素和随访数据。一个包含参与者年龄、种族、性别、既往入住史、日常生活活动受限情况、认知功能、居住安排和收入水平的基线风险因素多变量逻辑回归模型预测了每个社区80%的使用者。
