The role of volume-weighted mean nuclear volume in predicting disease outcome in patients with stage M1 prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND

Various factors have been reported to be of value in predicting the prognosis of prostate cancer. Gleason score (GS) and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) are the two most powerful prognosticators among them. We previously reported that estimation of volume-weighted mean nuclear volume (MNV) was a more useful prognosticator for prostate cancer than subjective histologic grading. In this study, we compared estimates of MNV with PSA and GS for predicting the prognosis of stage M1 prostate cancer.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

A retrospective prognostic study of 66 patients with stage M1 prostate cancer diagnosed between January 1989 and December 1996 at Shizuoka City Hospital and Shizuoka Prefectural Hospital was performed. The prognostic value of unbiased estimates of MNV were compared with PSA and histologic grading according to GS.

RESULTS

Univariate analysis revealed that estimates of MNV (p=0.0136) and post-treatment nadir PSA level (p<0.0001) correlated significantly with the prognosis of stage M1 prostate cancer, whilst GS (p=0.9377), pre-treatment PSA level (p=0.7377) and rate of decrease in PSA level within 1 month after the beginning of therapy (p=0.8999) had no prognostic value. Multivariate analysis revealed that post-treatment PSA level and estimates of MNV were the two most powerful prognosticators.

CONCLUSIONS

This study indicates that estimation of MNV is an important prognosticator, in conjunction with post-treatment nadir PSA level, in stage M1 prostate cancer.