Meltzer M I, Rupprecht C E
National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Pharmacoeconomics. 1998 Oct;14(4):365-83. doi: 10.2165/00019053-199814040-00004.
The existing literature on the economics of rabies and its control can be characterised as a poorly documented set of cost estimates with insufficient information to allow replication of the analyses. Most articles have numerous 'violations' of the standard recommended procedures for assessing the burden of disease and the cost and benefits of interventions. Per capita costs are often crudely extrapolated from small to large populations without allowing for geographic differences in incidence. Furthermore, most studies do not distinguish between financial charges and true economic costs, and only a few articles contain a multiyear framework, complete with discounting of future costs and benefits. With the exception of the increase in average incidence of postexposure prophylaxes (PEPs) in Asia, the average incidences of both human-rabies cases and PEPs in Africa, the Americas and Europe have not changed significantly over time. There are, however, large differences between countries within a region and regional averages can conceal notable changes in incidences over time for a given country. The largest number of human-rabies cases occur in developing countries due to the low levels of vaccination among dogs, the high cost of biologicals for PEP and problems of availability. The costs (1995 values) of PEP range from $US1707 per person in Massachusetts, US, to $US2.50 for a complete series of vaccinations (without immunoglobulin) using sheep-derived vaccines in Karachi, Pakistan. Most studies which reported the cost of PEP, however, provided only direct medical costs and did not consider indirect costs such as lost productivity due to death, permanent disability or time spent while receiving medical care. Given the expense of controlling rabies in dogs and wildlife, there is an urgent need to develop a cheaper human-rabies vaccine or further refine the 'low-dose' PEP regimes. PEP is often given unnecessarily, and experience with expert consultations systems and algorithms has shown that the rate, and therefore total cost, of PEP can be significantly reduced. However, because it may be difficult to identify lesions from a bite by a bat, algorithms may be of less value when dealing with possible exposure to bat rabies. Using US prices and values, only 2 individuals per 1000 possible contacts have to be at risk from bat rabies in order for it to be economically justifiable to give PEP to all those potentially exposed to bat rabies. With regard to pre-exposure vaccination, routine use of pre-exposure has generally not been shown to be cost effective.
现有关于狂犬病经济学及其防控的文献,其特点是成本估算记录不完善,信息不足,无法复制分析过程。大多数文章在评估疾病负担以及干预措施的成本和效益时,存在诸多违反标准推荐程序的情况。人均成本往往从小规模人群粗略推算至大规模人群,而未考虑发病率的地理差异。此外,大多数研究未区分财务费用和实际经济成本,只有少数文章包含多年框架,并对未来成本和效益进行了贴现。除亚洲暴露后预防(PEP)的平均发病率有所上升外,非洲、美洲和欧洲的人类狂犬病病例和PEP的平均发病率随时间推移并未显著变化。然而,一个地区内各国之间存在很大差异,区域平均值可能掩盖特定国家发病率随时间的显著变化。由于犬类疫苗接种率低、PEP生物制品成本高以及供应问题,发展中国家的人类狂犬病病例数量最多。PEP的成本(1995年价值)从美国马萨诸塞州每人1707美元到巴基斯坦卡拉奇使用羊源疫苗进行完整系列接种(不含免疫球蛋白)的2.50美元不等。然而,大多数报告PEP成本的研究仅提供了直接医疗成本,未考虑间接成本,如因死亡、永久性残疾或接受医疗护理所花费时间导致的生产力损失。鉴于控制犬类和野生动物狂犬病的费用高昂,迫切需要开发更便宜的人类狂犬病疫苗或进一步完善“低剂量”PEP方案。PEP常常被不必要地使用,专家咨询系统和算法的经验表明,PEP的使用率以及总成本可以显著降低。然而,由于可能难以识别蝙蝠咬伤造成的伤口,在处理可能接触蝙蝠狂犬病的情况时,算法的价值可能较小。按照美国的价格和价值计算,每1000次可能接触中只有2人有感染蝙蝠狂犬病的风险,才使得对所有可能接触蝙蝠狂犬病病毒的人进行PEP在经济上是合理的。关于暴露前接种,一般未证明常规使用暴露前接种具有成本效益。