Sural S, Sharma R K, Singhal M K, Kher V, Gupta A, Arora P, Gulati S
Department of Nephrology, Sanjay Gandhi Post Graduate Insitute of Medical Sciences, Lucknow, India.
J Nephrol. 1999 Nov-Dec;12(6):390-4.
We prospectively analyzed 70 consecutive patients who developed acute renal failure (ARF) in the intensive care unit (ICU) during a six year period to define prognostic factors and outcome. Age, sex, preexisting chronic diseases, systemic infections, number of organs failing during the disease course, need and mode of renal replacement therapy (RRT), and length of stay in ICU were recorded. Analysis of factors in survivors (n=7, Gp A) and nonsurvivors (n=63, Gp B) was done by univariate and multivariate analysis. The mean age of patients was 28.6 years. Forty nine (70%) patients developed ARF following surgery, whereas 21 (30%) developed ARF in a medical setting. Cardiovascular surgery (39) and pancreatic surgery (7) were important causes in the surgical group, whereas in the medical group acute pancreatitis (11) was the main causative factor. One patient had ARF only, while in the rest, other organs were also involved. In more than 80% of these patients, organ failure and sepsis were present before the onset of ARF. Fifty two (74.3%) patients required dialytic support. The overall mortality was 90%. Number of organs failing, (1.5 +/-9 in Gp A vs 3.6 +/- 8 in Gp B), presence of systemic infection (1 in Gp A vs 55 in Gp B), prolonged stay in ICU (3.7 +/- 1.1 days in Gp A vs 8.0 +/- 5.4 in Gp B) and need for RRT (2 in Gp A vs 50 in Gp B) correlated with the mortality. Using multiple logistic regression analysis, only multiple organ failure (3 or more) correlated with the mortality. We conclude that multiple organ failure is a poor prognostic factor in patients with ARF in the setting of the ICU.
我们对连续70例在六年期间于重症监护病房(ICU)发生急性肾衰竭(ARF)的患者进行了前瞻性分析,以确定预后因素和结局。记录了患者的年龄、性别、既往慢性疾病、全身感染、病程中衰竭的器官数量、肾脏替代治疗(RRT)的需求及方式,以及在ICU的住院时间。通过单因素和多因素分析对存活患者(n = 7,A组)和非存活患者(n = 63,B组)的因素进行了分析。患者的平均年龄为28.6岁。49例(70%)患者在手术后发生ARF,而21例(30%)在医疗环境中发生ARF。心血管手术(39例)和胰腺手术(7例)是手术组的重要病因,而在医疗组中,急性胰腺炎(11例)是主要致病因素。1例患者仅发生ARF,而其余患者还累及其他器官。在这些患者中,超过80%在ARF发作前存在器官衰竭和脓毒症。52例(74.3%)患者需要透析支持。总体死亡率为90%。衰竭器官数量(A组为1.5±9,B组为3.6±8)、全身感染的存在(A组为1例,B组为55例)、在ICU的长时间住院(A组为3.7±1.1天,B组为8.0±5.4天)以及对RRT的需求(A组为2例,B组为50例)与死亡率相关。使用多因素逻辑回归分析,只有多器官衰竭(3个或更多)与死亡率相关。我们得出结论,在ICU环境中,多器官衰竭是ARF患者的不良预后因素。