Bray J W, Zarkin G A, Ringwalt C, Qi J
Research Triangle Institute, Research Triangle Park, NC 27709, USA.
Health Econ. 2000 Jan;9(1):9-18. doi: 10.1002/(sici)1099-1050(200001)9:1<9::aid-hec471>3.0.co;2-z.
The prevalence of marijuana use among young people has risen rapidly in recent years, causing concern over the potential impact on academic performance of such use. While recent studies have examined the effect of alcohol use on educational attainment, they have largely ignored the potential negative effects of other substances, such as marijuana. This paper examines whether the relationship between the initiation of marijuana use and the decision to drop out of high school varies with the age of dropout or with multiple substance use. Data are from a longitudinal survey of 1392 adolescents aged 16-18 years. The results suggest that marijuana initiation is positively related to dropping out of high school. Although the magnitude and significance of this relationship varies with age of dropout and with other substances used, it is concluded that the effect of marijuana initiation on the probability of subsequent high school dropout is relatively stable, with marijuana users' odds of dropping out being about 2.3 times that of non-users. Implications of these conclusions are considered for both policy makers and researchers.
近年来,年轻人中使用大麻的比例迅速上升,这引发了人们对使用大麻可能影响学业成绩的担忧。虽然最近的研究探讨了饮酒对教育程度的影响,但这些研究在很大程度上忽略了其他物质(如大麻)的潜在负面影响。本文研究了开始使用大麻与高中辍学决定之间的关系是否因辍学年龄或多种物质使用情况而有所不同。数据来自对1392名16至18岁青少年的纵向调查。结果表明,开始使用大麻与高中辍学呈正相关。尽管这种关系的程度和显著性因辍学年龄和使用的其他物质而有所不同,但得出的结论是,开始使用大麻对随后高中辍学概率的影响相对稳定,大麻使用者辍学的几率约是非使用者的2.3倍。文中还为政策制定者和研究人员考虑了这些结论的影响。