Furnham A
Department of Psychology, University College London, United Kingdom.
J Altern Complement Med. 2000 Feb;6(1):71-6. doi: 10.1089/acm.2000.6.71.
To examine the relationship between beliefs in ways of telling the future (astrology, graphology, palmistry etc) and beliefs in complementary and alternative medicine (CAM).
Participants completed a short questionnaire that requested that they rate the efficacy of 8 CAM therapies along with 12 other ways of predicting the future ranging from the well known and established (astrology) to the less well known (tasseography, oneiromancy). Short descriptions of each were provided. They also answered four attitude statements on science as applied to medicine.
Two hundred three (130 female, 73 male) adult Britains obtained from a university subject panel served as unpaid volunteer subjects.
CAM therapies were judged as modestly effective and most of the other "-ologies" ineffective. Further analysis confirmed two clear factors with the different methods loading on two different factors. Regressions showed females who were less concerned with scientific evaluations but more concerned with treatment believed more in the efficacy of the "future-ologies." Also females, who had heard of fewer "future-ologies" but more CAM practices were more likely to believe in the efficacy of CAM therapies.
Belief in CAM is unrelated to belief in "future-ologies." Interest in the scientific evaluations of treatment is the best predictor of beliefs about efficacy.
探讨对预测未来方式（占星术、笔迹学、手相术等）的信念与对补充和替代医学（CAM）的信念之间的关系。
参与者完成一份简短问卷，要求他们对8种补充和替代医学疗法以及12种其他预测未来的方式进行疗效评分，这些方式从广为人知且已确立的（占星术）到不太知名的（茶占卜、解梦）。每种方式都提供了简短描述。他们还回答了关于科学应用于医学的四条态度陈述。
从大学学科小组招募的203名（130名女性，73名男性）英国成年人作为无薪志愿者参与研究。
补充和替代医学疗法被判定有一定效果，而大多数其他“占卜学”无效。进一步分析确认了两个明显的因素，不同的方法加载在两个不同的因素上。回归分析表明，不太关注科学评估但更关注治疗的女性更相信“预测未来方式”的疗效。同样，听说过较少“预测未来方式”但更多补充和替代医学疗法的女性更有可能相信补充和替代医学疗法的疗效。
对补充和替代医学的信念与对“预测未来方式”的信念无关。对治疗科学评估的兴趣是疗效信念的最佳预测指标。
