Aspinwall L G
Department of Psychology, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742-4411, USA.
J Natl Cancer Inst Monogr. 1999(25):88-93. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.jncimonographs.a024216.
Risk behaviors and responses to risk communications are complex and multifaceted. Two target articles (1,2) conclude that little longitudinal evidence shows that risk perceptions predict precautionary behaviors. This paper focuses on several questions raised by these perplexing findings that have implications for future research on risk communications. A pressing need exists to understand how people process risk information over time and how such processing may differ as a function of risk status, individual differences, social context, and other factors. I will review evidence and methods from the study of persuasion and attitude change that suggest several ways to study message processing to understand what kinds of thoughts are brought to mind following a persuasive communication, as well as how such thoughts may be related to subsequent beliefs and behaviors as people encounter new information and make risk-relevant choices.
风险行为以及对风险沟通的反应是复杂且多方面的。两篇目标文章(1,2)得出结论,几乎没有纵向证据表明风险认知能预测预防行为。本文聚焦于这些令人困惑的研究结果所引发的几个问题,这些问题对未来风险沟通研究具有启示意义。迫切需要了解人们如何随着时间推移处理风险信息,以及这种处理方式如何因风险状况、个体差异、社会背景和其他因素而有所不同。我将回顾说服与态度改变研究中的证据和方法,这些证据和方法提出了几种研究信息处理的方式,以了解在有说服力的沟通之后会引发何种想法,以及当人们遇到新信息并做出与风险相关的选择时,这些想法可能如何与后续的信念和行为相关联。