Palmer A J, Sendi P P, Spinas G A
IMIB, Institute for Medical Informatics and Biostatistics, Riehen.
Schweiz Med Wochenschr. 2000 Jul 11;130(27-28):1034-40.
The results of the metformin substudy of the United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) were applied through modelling techniques to the Swiss setting, allowing a cost-effectiveness analysis of the management of overweight type-2 diabetes patients with either conventional glycaemic control or intensive control with metformin from the Swiss third-party payer perspective.
Occurrence of diabetes-related complications was simulated using a Markov model. Probabilities for complications were taken from the UKPDS, and costs were retrieved from published sources. Total direct costs (costs of diabetes therapy plus costs of treating complications) and survival over an 11-year period were determined for cohorts randomised to either conventional glycaemic control or intensive control with metformin. Changes in life expectancy were calculated for conventional versus intensive control with metformin. Extensive sensitivity analysis was performed.
Mean costs per patient over the 11-year follow-up period (discounted at 5% per annum) were CHF 10,877 and CHF 9950 for patients randomised to either conventional control or intensive control with metformin respectively. Intensive control with metformin led to improved survival (0.43 life-years gained per patient) over the 11-year-period. Outcomes were most sensitive to variations in the acquisition costs of metformin. Changes in the event rates and costs related to myocardial infarction, renal failure, and stroke also had important impacts.
Within the limitations of the modelling study, intensive glycaemic control with metformin was cost- and life-saving in overweight type-2 diabetes patients in the Swiss setting.
通过建模技术将英国前瞻性糖尿病研究(UKPDS)中二甲双胍亚研究的结果应用于瑞士的情况,从瑞士第三方支付方的角度对超重2型糖尿病患者采用传统血糖控制或二甲双胍强化控制的管理进行成本效益分析。
使用马尔可夫模型模拟糖尿病相关并发症的发生情况。并发症的概率取自UKPDS,成本从已发表的资料中获取。确定随机分配到传统血糖控制或二甲双胍强化控制组的队列在11年期间的总直接成本(糖尿病治疗成本加上治疗并发症的成本)和生存率。计算传统控制与二甲双胍强化控制相比预期寿命的变化。进行了广泛的敏感性分析。
在11年的随访期内(按每年5%贴现),随机分配到传统控制组和二甲双胍强化控制组的患者人均成本分别为10,877瑞士法郎和9950瑞士法郎。二甲双胍强化控制在11年期间提高了生存率(每位患者多获得0.43个生命年)。结果对二甲双胍采购成本的变化最为敏感。心肌梗死、肾衰竭和中风的事件发生率和成本变化也有重要影响。
在建模研究的局限性内,在瑞士环境中,二甲双胍强化血糖控制对超重2型糖尿病患者具有成本效益且能挽救生命。