Fergusson D M, Woodward L J
Christchurch Health and Development Study, Christchurch School of Medicine, New Zealand.
J Child Psychol Psychiatry. 2000 Sep;41(6):779-92.
This paper examines the extent to which conduct problems at age 13 are associated with a range of educational, psychosocial, and sexual outcomes at age 18 in a birth cohort of 488 young women. Significant associations were found between early adolescent conduct problems and later risks of educational failure, juvenile crime, substance abuse, mental health problems, and adverse sexual outcomes by late adolescence. These elevated risks were explained, in part, by social, family, and personal disadvantages associated with adjustment at age 13. In addition, there was evidence of a causal chain process in which early adolescent conduct problems were associated with a series of adolescent risk-taking behaviours, including delinquent peer affiliations, early-onset sexual behaviour, substance use, and school problems that were, in turn, associated with increased risks of later adverse outcomes.
本文研究了488名年轻女性出生队列中13岁时的行为问题与18岁时一系列教育、心理社会和性方面结果的关联程度。研究发现，青少年早期的行为问题与青少年后期教育失败、青少年犯罪、药物滥用、心理健康问题以及不良性结果的风险之间存在显著关联。这些升高的风险部分可由与13岁时适应情况相关的社会、家庭和个人不利因素来解释。此外，有证据表明存在因果链过程，即青少年早期的行为问题与一系列青少年冒险行为相关，包括不良同伴关系、过早性行为、药物使用和学校问题，而这些行为反过来又与后期不良结果风险增加相关。
