[A model for determination of the expected numbers of chromosome alterations and break points].

The assumption that the expected number of chromosome break points is simple and directly proportional to the length of chromosomes is criticized. Translocations and inversions imply two dependent break points in relation to their distribution on the whole karyotype, that is why, this assumption should be modified. A model is presented which takes the dependence into account and which provides the formulas for the calculations of probabilities of binary rearrangements and of their respectives break points. We apply the model to the human karyotype.