Griffiths P, Matthews Z, Hinde A
Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill 27516, USA.
Demography. 2000 Nov;37(4):477-88. doi: 10.1353/dem.2000.0004.
The highly masculine sex ratio in India has increased substantially in the twentieth century, in contrast to most other countries in the world. Competing arguments alternatively posit under-enumeration, highly masculine sex ratios at birth, or excess female mortality throughout the life course as the factors underlying the level of the overall sex ratio; these arguments have not been resolved. Based on population projections that simulate population dynamics, our findings show that small differences in mortality at young ages, persisting over a long period, as well as a sex ratio at birth of 106 males per 100 females, result in a highly masculine population sex ratio.
与世界上大多数其他国家形成对比的是,印度高度失衡的男性性别比例在20世纪大幅上升。相互竞争的观点分别认为,人口普查漏报、出生时高度失衡的性别比例,或女性在整个生命历程中的高死亡率是导致总体性别比例失衡的因素;这些观点尚未得到解决。基于模拟人口动态的人口预测,我们的研究结果表明,长期存在的低龄死亡率的微小差异,以及每100名女性对应106名男性的出生性别比例,导致了高度失衡的人口性别比例。