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利用当前队列表预测英国个体的预期寿命。

Prediction of life expectancy in individuals in the United Kingdom using current cohort tables.

作者信息

Bowen-Jones David, Nwaneri Chukwuemeka, Morris Julie

出版信息

J Insur Med. 2014;44(3):164-9.

Abstract

This paper provides updated cohort tables of life expectancy for individuals in the United Kingdom. Using 2008-based projections from the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) cohort and period expectation of life tables (the Ogden tables); predicted future life expectancies were calculated for quintiles of age from 0-90 years in men and women with mortality ratios between 100% and 1000%. Period tables have been included to illustrate the differences between period and cohort life expectancy in men and women at various ages. These tables are not intended to predict specific life expectancy in individuals but may indicate the mean life expectancy of a cohort of similarly affected people in the UK.

摘要

本文提供了英国个人预期寿命的最新队列表。使用英国国家统计局(ONS)基于2008年的队列和时期预期寿命表(奥格登表)的预测;计算了死亡率在100%至1000%之间的男性和女性从0至90岁年龄段五分位数的未来预测预期寿命。纳入时期表以说明不同年龄男性和女性时期预期寿命与队列预期寿命之间的差异。这些表并非旨在预测个体的具体预期寿命,而是可能表明英国一群受类似影响人群的平均预期寿命。

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