Kroot E J, van Leeuwen M A, van Rijswijk M H, Prevoo M L, Van 't Hof M A, van De Putte L B, van Riel P L
Department of Rheumatology, University Medical Centre Nijmegen, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Ann Rheum Dis. 2000 Dec;59(12):954-8. doi: 10.1136/ard.59.12.954.
To investigate mortality, functional capacity, and prognostic factors for mortality in an inception cohort of patients with recently diagnosed RA followed up for up to 10 years.
The observed mortality of this inception cohort with recently diagnosed RA, was analysed in relation to the expected mortality, calculated with the aid of life tables of the general population of the Netherlands (matched for age and sex). Functional capacity was measured by the Health Assessment Questionnaire. Prognostic factors for mortality were analysed multivariately by the Cox proportional hazards model.
Between January 1985 and April 1997, 622 patients entered the study, and were included in the analysis of mortality. The death rate in the first 10 years of the disease was not significantly different from that of the general population. Fifty five patients from the study group died (16% up to 10 years of follow up). The most commonly reported causes of death were of cardiovascular and respiratory origin. The other causes of death could be classified into cancer, sepsis, amyloidosis, leukaemia, renal insufficiency of unknown cause, perforation of the oesophagus, probably related to the treatment with non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, and pancytopenia during aurothioglucose treatment. Functional capacity improved significantly during the first six years compared with the value at start. Statistically significant predictors for death were age at the start and male sex.
In contrast with earlier studies performed, no excess mortality in the first 10 years of an inception cohort of patients with RA was seen. In addition, the functional capacity was relatively constant during the first six years after an initial improvement from baseline. Age at start and male sex were the only statistically significant predictors for death.
在一个新确诊类风湿关节炎(RA)患者起始队列中随访长达10年,调查死亡率、功能能力及死亡的预后因素。
将该新确诊RA起始队列的观察死亡率与借助荷兰普通人群生命表(按年龄和性别匹配)计算出的预期死亡率进行分析比较。功能能力通过健康评估问卷进行测量。采用Cox比例风险模型对死亡的预后因素进行多变量分析。
1985年1月至1997年4月,622例患者进入研究并纳入死亡率分析。疾病最初10年的死亡率与普通人群无显著差异。研究组中有55例患者死亡(随访10年期间为16%)。最常报告的死亡原因是心血管和呼吸系统疾病。其他死亡原因可分类为癌症、败血症、淀粉样变性、白血病、不明原因的肾功能不全、食管穿孔(可能与非甾体抗炎药治疗有关)以及金硫葡萄糖治疗期间的全血细胞减少。与起始时的值相比,功能能力在最初六年有显著改善。死亡的统计学显著预测因素为起始年龄和男性性别。
与早期研究不同,在RA患者起始队列的最初10年未观察到额外死亡率。此外,在从基线最初改善后的前六年中,功能能力相对稳定。起始年龄和男性性别是仅有的死亡统计学显著预测因素。