Glynn J R, Warndorff D K, Malema S S, Mwinuka V, Pönnighaus J M, Crampin A C, Fine P E
Infectious Disease Epidemiology Unit, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, UK.
Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg. 2000 Sep-Oct;94(5):500-3. doi: 10.1016/s0035-9203(00)90065-8.
Tuberculosis (TB) is associated with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection, increasing age and male sex, but less is known about other risk factors in developing countries. As part of the Karonga Prevention Study in northern Malawi, we conducted a retrospective cohort study in the general population to assess risk factors for the development of TB. Individuals were identified in 1986-89 and TB cases diagnosed up to 1996 were included. TB was confirmed in 62/11,059 (0.56%) HIV negative individuals and 7/182 (3.9%) HIV positive individuals (relative risk 7.1, 95% confidence interval 3.2-15.7). This association was little altered by adjustment for age, sex or socioeconomic factors. The risk of TB was higher in those aged over 30 years than in younger individuals, in men than in women, in those engaged in occupations other than farming than in subsistence farmers, in those living in households with burnt brick dwellings than in those with less well built dwellings, and in those with some schooling than in those with none. These associations persisted after adjusting for age, sex, HIV status and population density. The absolute risks of TB were low in this study due to the passive follow-up and strict diagnostic criteria. The relative risk with HIV was of a similar magnitude to that measured elsewhere. Increased risks of TB with age and in men are expected. Associations with measures of higher socioeconomic status were unexpected. They may reflect a greater likelihood of diagnosis in this group.
结核病(TB)与人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)感染、年龄增长和男性性别有关,但在发展中国家,人们对其他风险因素的了解较少。作为马拉维北部卡龙加预防研究的一部分,我们在普通人群中进行了一项回顾性队列研究,以评估结核病发病的风险因素。研究对象在1986 - 1989年被确定,纳入了截至1996年诊断出的结核病病例。在11059名HIV阴性个体中有62例(0.56%)确诊为结核病,在182名HIV阳性个体中有7例(3.9%)确诊为结核病(相对风险7.1,95%置信区间3.2 - 15.7)。经年龄、性别或社会经济因素调整后,这种关联变化不大。30岁以上人群患结核病的风险高于年轻人,男性高于女性,从事非农业职业的人高于自给自足的农民,居住在有烧制砖房屋的家庭中的人高于居住在房屋建造较差的家庭中的人,有一定教育程度的人高于没有教育程度的人。在对年龄、性别、HIV感染状况和人口密度进行调整后,这些关联仍然存在。由于采用被动随访和严格的诊断标准,本研究中结核病的绝对风险较低。HIV感染导致的相对风险与其他地方测得的相似。随着年龄增长和男性患结核病风险增加在意料之中。与较高社会经济地位指标的关联则出乎意料。它们可能反映了该群体中诊断率更高的可能性。